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Ferencvarosi TC 30%, the draw 29%, Trabzonspor 42%. That's the shape of this one.
Ferencvarosi TC have won three of their last five; Trabzonspor have lost three of their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Europa League tie.
Ferencvarosi TC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
Ferencvarosi TC average 1.4 goals per game and Trabzonspor manage 0.5. Combined that's just 1.9. We make it 49% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
In the last 3 meetings: Ferencvarosi TC have won 2, Trabzonspor 1, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 2.3 goals per game. 1 of the last 3 produced 3+ goals. Clean sheets are common in this fixture. One-sided results have been the pattern. Recent results: Trabzonspor 0-1 Ferencvarosi TC, Trabzonspor 1-0 Ferencvarosi TC, Ferencvarosi TC 3-2 Trabzonspor.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (14%) and 1-1 (13%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Ferencvarosi TC Win | @3.10 | 29.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.00 | 28.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Trabzonspor Win | @2.15 | 41.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.75 | 47.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @1.95 | 52.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @2.00 | 48.8% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.84 | 51.2% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.30 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.40 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.30 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Trabzonspor the favourite with a 41.6% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Ferencvarosi TC @ 3.10, Draw @ 3.00, Trabzonspor @ 2.15. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:30 in the Europa League.