FC Porto crestNapoli crest

FC Porto vs Napoli Prediction

Wednesday 4 November 2026, 20:00 Champions League

Build this bet

1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

FC Porto crestFC Porto 47% Draw 26% Napoli crestNapoli 28%

The read

The desk

Porto's decent home form meets a Napoli side that has lost three of its last five away and is missing its first-choice centre-back and defensive midfielder, which tilts this toward the hosts without making them a sure thing. The safest-looking double chance and goals markets are available, but neither comes at a price worth chasing blindly.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.22Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.22

Who is missing

Always free
Team news · fetched, named, sourced
FC Porto crestFC Porto

No absences found.

Napoli crestNapoli

Anguissa: out (muscle) · Buongiorno: out (knee) · Ngonge: out (short of match fitness) · Spinazzola: doubtful (muscle)

Checked Sun 1 Nov, 01:18.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Napoli to Win 3.17

Napoli have won just 1 of their last 5 away games and arrive without Anguissa and Buongiorno, the holding midfielder and centre-back who do the defensive work; Porto have won 3 of their last 5 at home.

The research desk on this game:

“Napoli arrive short at the back and away from home; Porto's advantage is real but not overwhelming.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

18+. BeGambleAware.org

The model v the market

Always free
Match modelBest priceImplied
FC Porto win 47% 1.95 51%
Draw 26% 3.75 27%
Napoli win 28% 3.75 27%
FC Porto or draw 76% 1.30 77%
Napoli or draw 55% 1.80 56%
Either side to win, no draw 1.29 78%
Over 2.5 goals 59% 1.73 58%
Both teams to score 59% 1.65 61%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

20 markets
Over 0.5 second half goals William Hill 1.20
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.25
Napoli over 2.5 corners 1xBet 1.26
FC Porto or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.30
FC Porto or Napoli (double chance) William Hill 1.29
Under 11.5 corners Betano 1.25
FC Porto over 3.5 corners Betano 1.31
Napoli under 5.5 corners Betano 1.32
FC Porto under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.25
FC Porto over 1 goals 1xBet 1.29
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.34
FC Porto under 6.5 corners 1xBet 1.34
Under 5.5 cards Betano 1.28
Over 0.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.33
Over 2.5 cards Betano 1.30
Napoli over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Over 2 goals BetVictor 1.33
Napoli under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.44
Under 1.5 first half goals William Hill 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

Always free
Away win 3.10 to 3.40 drifting, longer
Home win 2.15 to 1.95 shortening
Home or draw 1.36 to 1.30 shortening
Under 2.5 goals 2.08 to 2.17 drifting, longer
Over 2.5 goals 1.80 to 1.73 shortening
Draw 3.50 to 3.60 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

Always free
FC Porto crestFC Porto WWLLWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 12 scored, 6 conceded.

Sat 31 Oct Estoril crestv Estoril 4-0 Won
Sat 24 Oct Gil Vicente crestat Gil Vicente 1-0 Won
Tue 20 Oct PSV Eindhoven crestv PSV Eindhoven 0-1 Lost
Wed 14 Oct Real Betis crestat Real Betis 2-3 Lost
Sat 10 Oct Maritimo crestat Maritimo 2-1 Won
Sun 20 Sep Benfica crestv Benfica 3-1 Won
Napoli crestNapoli LWDWLL

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 12 scored, 13 conceded.

Sun 1 Nov Juventus crestat Juventus 0-2 Lost
Wed 28 Oct Monza crestat Monza 4-1 Won
Sat 24 Oct AS Roma crestv AS Roma 3-3 Drew
Tue 20 Oct Bodo/Glimt crestv Bodo/Glimt 4-3 Won
Sat 17 Oct Venezia crestat Venezia 0-1 Lost
Tue 13 Oct Villarreal crestat Villarreal 1-3 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

FC Porto v Napoli: the numbers

Always free
FC Porto crestFC PortoNapoli crestNapoli 34League position22 0-0-3League record, won-drawn-lost1-0-2 2-6Goals for and against5-7 0Points3 0-0-2Home record v away record0-0-1 0.67Scored a game1.67 2.00Conceded a game2.33 47%Clean sheets39% 16%Failed to score21% 37%Both teams scored47%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

FC Porto v Napoli: head to head

Always free

A first meeting: FC Porto and Napoli have not played each other in the record we hold.

Likely scorelines

Always free
2-17% 3-14% 3-23% 3-02% 4-11% 4-21%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

FC Porto vs Napoli: FAQs

Always free

FC Porto vs Napoli prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.22. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does FC Porto vs Napoli kick off?

FC Porto vs Napoli kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Champions League).

What are the best odds for FC Porto vs Napoli?

The best prices across the books we track: FC Porto 1.95, the draw 3.75, Napoli 3.75. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for FC Porto vs Napoli?

FC Porto: no absences found. Napoli: Anguissa: out (muscle), Buongiorno: out (knee), Ngonge: out (short of match fitness), Spinazzola: doubtful (muscle).

What form are FC Porto and Napoli in?

FC Porto have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W L L W W, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 6. Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L W D W L L, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 13.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

More Champions League matches

Keep going