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Estoril know what's at stake, and so do Famalicao.
A Primeira Liga meeting between Estoril (10th, 39 pts) and Famalicao (5th, 56 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Estoril will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Famalicao travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Estoril will be looking to make home advantage count (W6 D5 L6 at home). Famalicao's away record reads W6 D7 L4. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Estoril are scoring 1.6 a game (1.7 of those at home) and Famalicao manage 1.2 (0.9 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 50%.
Famalicao prefer to keep things tight (0.9 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Estoril against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Estoril Win | @2.80 | 25.2% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.25 | 26.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Famalicao Win | @2.38 | 46.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.73 | 49.9% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.00 | 50.1% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.90 | 50.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.94 | 49.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.28 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.70 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.37 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Famalicao the favourite with a 46.1% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Estoril @ 2.80, Draw @ 3.25, Famalicao @ 2.38. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Estoril vs Famalicao kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 20:15 in the Primeira Liga.