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A test of nerve as much as quality when Maritimo welcome Casa Pia.
A Primeira Liga fixture between Maritimo and Casa Pia. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Maritimo will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Casa Pia travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Maritimo average 0.0 goals per game and Casa Pia manage 0.9. Combined that's just 0.9. We make it only 48% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 50%.
Maritimo do it the hard way: only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Maritimo Win | @2.45 | 29.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.20 | 26.1% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Casa Pia Win | @2.80 | 42.3% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.67 | 49.9% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.10 | 50.1% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.95 | 47.8% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.88 | 52.2% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.28 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.40 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.34 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
The bookmakers make Casa Pia the favourite here. This league is new to our model, so we show the odds and an early read rather than a rated pick until we have built a verified record.
Best available odds: Maritimo @ 2.45, Draw @ 3.20, Casa Pia @ 2.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Maritimo vs Casa Pia kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:30 in the Primeira Liga.