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Elgin City 49%, the draw 26%, Stirling Albion 25%. That's the shape of this one.
Elgin City have taken 8 points from their last five; Stirling Albion have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Scottish League Two tie.
Goals look likely here. Elgin City average 2.3 per game (2.3 at home) and Stirling Albion chip in with 1.7 (1.7 away). Defensively, Elgin City concede 2.0 at home and Stirling Albion leak 1.8 on the road. We make it 58% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.0 goals when they meet, with 5 of the last 10 producing three or more.
Elgin City are all-out attack: 2.3 goals a game, but they leak 2.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Stirling Albion, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Elgin City have won 4, Stirling Albion 4, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Stirling Albion 2-2 Elgin City, Elgin City 1-0 Stirling Albion, Elgin City 4-2 Stirling Albion.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Elgin City Win | @1.80 | 49.2% | Bet365 |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.50 | 26.2% | Bet365 |
| Match Result | Stirling Albion Win | @3.70 | 24.6% | Bet365 |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.62 | 52.1% | Bet365 |
| BTTS | No | @2.20 | 47.9% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.67 | 58.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.15 | 42.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.20 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.33 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.62 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.47 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Elgin City the favourite with a 49.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Elgin City @ 1.80, Draw @ 3.50, Stirling Albion @ 3.70. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Elgin City vs Stirling Albion kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Scottish League Two.