Derby vs Norwich Prediction
Tuesday 3 November 2026, 19:45 Championship1235 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Derby 23%
Draw 29%
Norwich 48%
The read
The deskDerby haven't won in five and have lost four of their last five at home, while Norwich have lost four of their last five overall. Neither side looks capable of keeping the other out, so the sharper read here is goals rather than picking a winner.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProDerby haven't won in 5 games anywhere and are 0 wins in 5 at home (1 draw, 4 losses), sitting 23rd in the table. Nothing in the pack's form lines supports Derby taking 3 points here.
“Derby's home misery and Norwich's five-game stumble point to goals, not a home turnaround.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 23% | 3.40 | 29% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.60 | 28% |
| Norwich win | 48% | 2.05 | 49% |
| Derby or draw | 58% | 1.75 | 57% |
| Norwich or draw | 76% | 1.30 | 77% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.73 | 58% |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.60 | 62% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeDerby
LDLLDD
Last 6, newest first: 0 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost. 5 scored, 12 conceded.
at Millwall
1-4
Lost
at Sheffield United
1-1
Drew
v Stoke City
0-1
Lost
at Queens Park Rangers
1-4
Lost
v Wrexham
1-1
Drew
at Burnley
1-1
Drew
Norwich
WWLLLL
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost. 10 scored, 11 conceded.
v Watford
3-2
Won
at Charlton Athletic
3-1
Won
v Portsmouth
0-1
Lost
v Southampton
0-1
Lost
at Swansea City
1-2
Lost
v Bolton
3-4
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Derby v Norwich: the numbers
Always freeDerbyNorwich
23League position15
1-4-8League record, won-drawn-lost5-0-8
11-25Goals for and against23-24
7Points15
0-2-4Home record v away record2-0-4
0.85Scored a game1.77
1.92Conceded a game1.85
0.97xG for a game1.31
26%Clean sheets20%
9%Failed to score20%
65%Both teams scored61%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Derby v Norwich: head to head
Always freeNorwich v Derby
2-1
Derby v Norwich
1-0
Norwich v Derby
1-1
Derby v Norwich
2-3
Derby v Norwich
0-1
Norwich v Derby
0-1
Norwich v Derby
3-4
Derby v Norwich
1-1
Derby v Norwich
1-1
Norwich v Derby
1-2
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Derby vs Norwich: FAQs
Always freeDerby vs Norwich prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.23. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Derby vs Norwich kick off?
Derby vs Norwich kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 19:45 UK time (Championship).
What are the best odds for Derby vs Norwich?
The best prices across the books we track: Derby 3.40, the draw 3.60, Norwich 2.05. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Derby and Norwich in?
Derby have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D L L D D, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 12. Norwich have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 6 (W W L L L L, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 11.
What is the head to head between Derby and Norwich?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Derby won 4, Norwich won 3 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 21 Apr 2026, finished Norwich 2-1 Derby.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Mon 2 Nov
Pro single
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1.53
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 1 Nov
Pro single
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
1.36
Over 1.5 goals (2-0) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Peterborough v Luton
1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.