Who is favourite to win Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?

Our model rates Valencia as the favourite with a 42.3% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Deportivo La Coruna 30.2%, draw 27.6%, Valencia 42.3%.

Where can I watch Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?

Check official La Liga broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 35.8% probability and Under 2.5 goals 64.2%. The lean is towards a tighter, lower-scoring affair.

69% verified · 778 picks La Liga Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia Predictions & Odds

D Deportivo La Coruna 30.2% @2.75

VS Draw 27.6%

V Valencia 42.3% @2.89

Our model call Leans Valencia, but only just A 42% call, draw at 28%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Deportivo La Coruna 30% 2.75 Draw 28% 3.30 Valencia 42% 2.89

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 64% 1.67 Over 2.5 36% 2.40 Over 1.5 @1.40

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 57% 1.81 Yes 43% 1.95

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

69% verified · logged before kick-off

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Both Teams to Score	42.6%	51.3%	9 pts under
Deportivo La Coruna Win	30.2%	36.6%	6 pts under
Over 2.5 Goals	35.8%	41.7%	6 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Key Stats

01The read

Deportivo La Coruna Host Valencia: Our Prediction

The model makes Valencia 42% favourites here. Deportivo La Coruna carry the 30% upset.

Valencia slight edge (42%) | Lower-scoring game likely (64%) | Predicted: 0-1 Confidence ★★★★★

Deportivo La Coruna have taken 1 points from their last 1; Valencia have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this La Liga tie.

Our verdict

Marginal call: Valencia at just 42%. With the draw at 28%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for Valencia, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe.

Where's the value?

Our model spots value here: Valencia to win at @2.89 (our model: 42%, bookmakers imply: 35%). A 8% edge over the market.

Key facts

⚽

Open Games Both teams score in 100% of Deportivo La Coruna's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet

▸ Form & goals

Deportivo La Coruna average 1.0 goals per game and Valencia manage 1.8. Combined that's just 2.8. We make it only 36% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 43%.

Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 100% of Deportivo La Coruna's home games and 47% of Valencia's away matches.

▸ Team news & context

Valencia have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.3 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.

In the last 10 meetings: Deportivo La Coruna have won 1, Valencia 5, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 3.1 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Valencia 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna, Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Valencia, Valencia 3-0 Deportivo La Coruna, Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valencia.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 0-1 (11%).

First Half Result

Deportivo La Coruna HT 3.40
Draw HT 1.91
Valencia HT 3.30

Team Intel

📊 Valencia · xG

For: 1.44/g Against: 1.22/g

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Deportivo La Coruna Win	@2.75	30.2%	Dafabet
Match Result	Draw	@3.30	27.6%	1xBet
Match Result	Valencia Win	@2.89	42.3%	1xBet
BTTS	Yes	@1.95	42.6%	Betfair
BTTS	No	@1.81	57.4%	Betfair
Goals	Over 2.5	@2.40	35.8%	1xBet
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.67	64.2%	1xBet
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.40	-	1xBet
Goals	Under 1.5	@2.75	-	1xBet
Goals	Over 3.5	@4.50	-	1xBet
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.17	-	1xBet

05The numbers

Recent Form

Deportivo La Coruna

1 unbeaten

Last 1 D

BTTS 100%

Valencia

2W streak 4 unbeaten

Last 5 WWDWL

On the road WW

Clean sheets 24% BTTS 55% FTS 24%

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia Head to Head

1 Home Wins 4 Draws 5 Away Wins

3.1 Avg Goals

7/10 BTTS

6/10 Over 2.5

2018-05-20 Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Valencia

2018-01-13 Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Valencia

2017-04-02 Deportivo La Coruna 0-3 Valencia

2016-10-31 Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valencia

2016-01-24 Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valencia

2015-08-30 Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valencia

2015-03-13 Deportivo La Coruna 0-2 Valencia

2014-10-19 Deportivo La Coruna 3-0 Valencia

2013-01-26 Deportivo La Coruna 2-3 Valencia

2012-08-26 Deportivo La Coruna 3-3 Valencia

Full Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 1-1 12.5%

0-1 10.7%

1-0 8.8%

0-0 7.6%

0-2 7.6%

2-0 5.1%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 9 priced markets

Under 1.5 first half goals 77% @1.30 1xBet
Deportivo La Coruna under 1.5 goals 74% @1.36 1xBet
Deportivo La Coruna over 0.5 goals 74% @1.36 1xBet
Valencia under 1.5 goals 74% @1.36 1xBet
Valencia over 0.5 goals 74% @1.36 1xBet
Deportivo La Coruna or Valencia (double chance) 72% @1.38 1xBet
Over 1.5 goals 71% @1.40 1xBet
Over 0.5 first half goals 69% @1.44 1xBet
Deportivo La Coruna or Draw (double chance) 68% @1.47 1xBet

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Deportivo La Coruna v Valencia builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 69% @ 1.45
2 Over 1.5 Goals 70% @ 1.43
3 Both Teams to Score - No 57% @ 1.74

@3.60 £10 returns £36.02

View full breakdown

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The record

69%

verified hit rate across 778 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia: FAQs

Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?

Our model makes Valencia the favourite with a 42.3% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?

Best available odds: Deportivo La Coruna @ 2.75, Draw @ 3.30, Valencia @ 2.89. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia kick off?

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:30 in the La Liga.

Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 42.6% probability.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Valencia to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.