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CF Montreal know what's at stake, and so do D.C. United.
CF Montreal take on D.C. United in the MLS. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. CF Montreal will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while D.C. United travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
CF Montreal's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
Goals are a tough one to call here. CF Montreal are scoring 1.0 a game (0.8 of those at home) and D.C. United manage 1.8 (1.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 59%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line.
D.C. United have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | CF Montreal Win | @2.15 | 42.4% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.60 | 21.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | D.C. United Win | @2.80 | 37.7% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.70 | 58.9% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.05 | 41.1% | William Hill |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes CF Montreal the favourite with a 42.4% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: CF Montreal @ 2.15, Draw @ 3.60, D.C. United @ 2.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
CF Montreal vs D.C. United kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.