Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
A test of nerve as much as quality when Toronto FC welcome New England Revolution.
Toronto FC welcome New England Revolution in the MLS. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Toronto FC will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while New England Revolution travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Toronto FC come in on a D-L-D-D-L run, New England Revolution have gone W-D-L-W-L, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Toronto FC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Toronto FC create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. New England Revolution create 1.2 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Toronto FC average 1.1 goals per game and New England Revolution manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Toronto FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.