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A test of nerve as much as quality when Club Tijuana welcome Cruz Azul.
Club Tijuana welcome Cruz Azul in the Liga MX. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Club Tijuana will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Cruz Azul travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Club Tijuana are scoring 1.4 a game (1.4 of those at home) and Cruz Azul manage 1.9 (1.9 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
Club Tijuana do it the hard way: only 1.4 a game up top, but a mean 0.6 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Cruz Azul have goals in them (1.9 per game) but their record at the back (1.2 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Club Tijuana Win | @3.10 | 29.7% | Bet365 |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.40 | 27.6% | Bet365 |
| Match Result | Cruz Azul Win | @2.20 | 42.7% | Bet365 |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.70 | 50.5% | Bet365 |
| BTTS | No | @2.12 | 49.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.85 | 51.2% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.98 | 48.8% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.75 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.39 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Cruz Azul the favourite with a 42.7% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Club Tijuana @ 3.10, Draw @ 3.40, Cruz Azul @ 2.20. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 04:00 in the Liga MX.