Vasco da Gama v Coritiba

Sunday 20 September 2026, 00:30 Brasileirão Série A

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72% across 1021 graded picks, in public. The record

The model's read

Vasco da Gama 59% Draw 22% Coritiba 16%

The read

The desk

Vasco haven't won any of their last four at home and go into this missing two suspended midfielders, while Coritiba arrive unbeaten in four of their last five and have lost only once away. The shape favours goals at both ends and a difficult night for the home favourites.

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The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public - the whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.85

Your slip

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The research

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The research desk on this game:

“Vasco's home form is broken and short-handed; goals and a Coritiba point look the safer read.”

The desk's verdict on the model's call: downgrade. The reason, the team news and every market's grade sit inside.

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, the team news by name, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. Seven days for £1 opens the whole card, on this game and every other.

The model v the market

Always free
Best priceImplied
Vasco da Gama win 1.55 65%
Draw 3.80 26%
Coritiba win 5.50 18%
Vasco da Gama or draw 1.14 88%
Coritiba or draw 2.30 43%
Either side to win, no draw 1.25 80%
Over 2.5 goals 1.85 54%
Both teams to score 1.85 54%

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. Seven days for £1.

Every priced market

21 markets
Over 0.5 second half goals William Hill 1.25
Coritiba under 1.5 goals Betano 1.21
Coritiba over 2 corners 1xBet 1.20
Vasco da Gama over 4.5 corners Betano 1.20
Under 12.5 corners Betano 1.24
Over 1.5 goals Betano 1.30
Over 2.5 cards Betano 1.22
Under 6.5 cards Betano 1.22
Under 2 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Coritiba under 4.5 corners 1xBet 1.27
Vasco da Gama under 8.5 corners 1xBet 1.28
Under 3.5 goals Betano 1.37
Over 0.5 first half goals Betano 1.44
Vasco da Gama under 2.5 goals Betano 1.35
Over 8.5 corners Betano 1.39
Under 1.5 first half goals Bet365 1.44
Coritiba under 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.40
Under 10.5 shots on target Betano 1.40
Vasco da Gama to win Betano 1.57
Over 7.5 shots on target Betano 1.47
Under 31.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.47

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in FBB Pro.

Recent winners

Graded in public

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