Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 00:30 Brasileirão Série A1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Sao Paulo 45%
Draw 26%
Corinthians 29%
The read
The deskSao Paulo at home against a Corinthians side that has lost every one of its last five away games and sits 17th, further weakened by Matheuzinho's suspension and doubts over Memphis Depay and Gabriel Paulista. The shape points to a controlled home performance and a low, tight scoreline rather than a shootout in either direction.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeSao PauloSabino: suspended (third yellow card)
CorinthiansMatheuzinho: suspended (third yellow card) · Memphis Depay: doubtful (thigh issue) · Gabriel Paulista: doubtful (strain) · Raniele: out (knee surgery) · Zakaria Labyad: out (knee surgery) · Kayke: out (knee surgery)
Checked Mon 2 Nov, 00:51.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProCorinthians have lost all 5 away and 3 of their last 5 overall while sitting 17th, with Memphis Depay and Gabriel Paulista doubtful on top of Raniele, Zakaria Labyad and Kayke already out long-term; that is a side without enough fit attacking players to turn this into a shootout. Sao Paulo's home form, 4 wins in 5, reads as controlled scorelines rather than a flood of goals.
“Corinthians arrive winless and short-staffed away from home; Sao Paulo should control without needing to flood the scoreline.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo win | 2.30 | 43% | |
| Draw | 3.20 | 31% | |
| Corinthians win | 3.30 | 30% | |
| Sao Paulo or draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Corinthians or draw | 1.67 | 60% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.36 | 74% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 43% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 | 51% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
18 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeSao Paulo
LDWWLL
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 7 scored, 9 conceded.
at Bahia
2-3
Lost
at Mirassol
1-1
Drew
v Vasco da Gama
1-0
Won
v Vitoria
2-1
Won
at Cruzeiro
0-2
Lost
v Santos
1-2
Lost
Corinthians
WLDLLL
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 8 scored, 13 conceded.
v Mirassol
2-0
Won
at Vasco Da Gama
2-3
Lost
v Vitoria
1-1
Drew
at Palmeiras
1-4
Lost
at Internacional
1-2
Lost
v Fluminense
1-3
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Sao Paulo v Corinthians: the numbers
Always freeSao PauloCorinthians
10League position17
12-7-14League record, won-drawn-lost9-9-15
39-39Goals for and against36-42
43Points36
10-3-3Home record v away record3-5-8
1.20Scored a game1.10
1.20Conceded a game1.30
1.51xG for a game1.44
21%Clean sheets33%
21%Failed to score21%
64%Both teams scored64%
3%Over 2.5 goals9%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Sao Paulo v Corinthians: head to head
Always freeCorinthians v Sao Paulo
3-2
Corinthians v Sao Paulo
1-1
Corinthians v Sao Paulo
3-1
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
2-0
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
3-1
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
3-1
Corinthians v Sao Paulo
2-2
Corinthians v Sao Paulo
1-2
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
2-1
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
2-0
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians: FAQs
Always freeSao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Sao Paulo or Draw at 1.30. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Sao Paulo vs Corinthians kick off?
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 00:30 UK time (Brasileirão Série A).
What are the best odds for Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
The best prices across the books we track: Sao Paulo 2.30, the draw 3.20, Corinthians 3.30. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
Sao Paulo: Sabino: suspended (third yellow card). Corinthians: Matheuzinho: suspended (third yellow card), Memphis Depay: doubtful (thigh issue), Gabriel Paulista: doubtful (strain), Raniele: out (knee surgery), Zakaria Labyad: out (knee surgery), Kayke: out (knee surgery).
What form are Sao Paulo and Corinthians in?
Sao Paulo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D W W L L, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Corinthians have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (W L D L L L, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 13.
What is the head to head between Sao Paulo and Corinthians?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Sao Paulo won 6, Corinthians won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 10 May 2026, finished Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Mon 2 Nov
Pro single
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1.53
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Sat 31 Oct
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Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
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1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.