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A test of nerve as much as quality when Fleetwood Town welcome Chesterfield.
Fleetwood Town take on Chesterfield in the EFL Cup. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Fleetwood Town will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Chesterfield travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Fleetwood Town are scoring 1.6 a game (1.6 of those at home) and Chesterfield manage 1.1 (1.1 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 52%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
Chesterfield prefer to keep things tight (0.6 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Fleetwood Town against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Fleetwood Town Win | @2.90 | 31.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.20 | 28.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Chesterfield Win | @2.30 | 40.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.65 | 50.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.15 | 49.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.90 | 51.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.95 | 48.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.28 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.60 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.35 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Chesterfield the favourite with a 40.1% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Fleetwood Town @ 2.90, Draw @ 3.20, Chesterfield @ 2.30. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.