Brentford v Chelsea

Friday 18 September 2026, 20:00 Premier League

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72% across 1021 graded picks, in public. The record

The model's read

Brentford 29% Draw 25% Chelsea 44%

The read

The desk

Brentford are unbeaten in three at home even without injured captain Nathan Collins, while Chelsea travel to west London missing five players including midfield anchor Moises Caicedo. Expect a game with goals in it rather than a routine away win, and treat any straight Chelsea backing as the shakier side of the coin.

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The model says

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The call on this game BTTS: Yes
the model's number, in Pro 1.40William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public - the whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.40

Your slip

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Every leg with the model's number beside it, the combined price, and what we left out and why. Tap any leg to move it to your slip. Seven days for £1.

The research

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The research desk on this game:

“Two weakened defences and a Brentford side unbeaten at home in three point toward goals”

The desk's verdict on the model's call: downgrade. The reason, the team news and every market's grade sit inside.

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, the team news by name, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. Seven days for £1 opens the whole card, on this game and every other.

The model v the market

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The model's number beside every price in this table: the win markets, the double chances, the goals and both to score. Seven days for £1.

Every priced market

28 markets
Over 8 corners 1xBet 1.18
Under 6.5 cards Betano 1.19
Under 12.5 corners 1xBet 1.26
Over 0.5 first half goals Betano 1.29
Brentford under 2.5 goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Chelsea under 2.5 goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.22
Over 23.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.22
Over 7.5 shots on target 1xBet 1.26
Brentford over 3.5 corners Betano 1.31
Under 12.5 shots on target Betano 1.24
Brentford or Chelsea (double chance) Marathon Bet 1.31
Under 4.5 goals Betano 1.29
Chelsea under 6.5 corners 1xBet 1.28
Over 2.5 cards Betano 1.25
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.29
Brentford under 6.5 corners 1xBet 1.33
Chelsea over 3.5 corners Betano 1.34
Under 31.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.28
Brentford over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.30
Chelsea over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.30
Over 18.5 fouls 1xBet 1.30
Under 24.5 fouls 1xBet 1.31
Under 2.5 second half goals Betano 1.39
Both teams to score: Yes Bet365 1.44
Under 4 goals Pinnacle 1.40
Chelsea or Draw (double chance) 1xBet 1.54
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in FBB Pro.

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