West Brom vs Charlton Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on West Brom (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
A Championship clash between two sides separated by just 1 place in the table. West Brom (2nd, 6 pts) and Charlton (3rd, 6 pts) both have plenty to play for.
Charlton are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L0 from 1 away trips, scoring 2.0 per game on the road. West Brom (W1 D0 L0 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Both sides are prolific in front of goal. West Brom average 2.5 per game and Charlton chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest. The gap in chance quality is clear: West Brom come out at +0.7 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.4. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
West Brom create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.0), leaving them +0.7 a game on the balance. Charlton create 1.2 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour West Brom. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Goals look likely here. West Brom average 2.5 per game (3.0 at home) and Charlton chip in with 2.0 (2.0 away). Defensively, West Brom concede 1.0 at home and Charlton leak 1.0 on the road. We make it 60% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%.
Both teams score in 52% of West Brom's home games and 57% of Charlton's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Matches involving West Brom always carry an extra edge. When you're challenging at the top, every fixture is scrutinised, every dropped point analysed. Charlton will know they need to be at their best to get a result here.
This has title race implications written all over it. West Brom sit 2nd while Charlton are 3rd. Three points here could prove decisive come May.
West Brom are all-out attack: 2.5 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Charlton, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Charlton have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 5 meetings: West Brom have won 1, Charlton 1, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.4 goals per game. 2 of the last 5 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: West Brom 1-1 Charlton, Charlton 1-0 West Brom, Charlton 2-2 West Brom, Charlton 0-1 West Brom.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | West Brom Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Charlton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
West Brom vs Charlton kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 53.0% probability.