Where can I watch Gremio vs Chapecoense?

Check official Brasileirão Série A broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

Gremio vs Chapecoense prediction and betting tips?

This fixture is in a league we are still building a verified record on, so we show the bookmaker odds and an early read rather than a rated pick. Our tracked, verified predictions cover the major leagues, all recorded on our accuracy page.

69% verified · 768 picks Brasileirão Série A Sunday 30 August 2026, 22:30

Gremio vs Chapecoense Predictions & Odds

G Gremio 59.5% @1.44

VS Draw 22.3%

C Chapecoense 14.4% @6.00

Our model call Model leans Gremio A 60% call, draw at 22%.

Match result modelmarket

Gremio 60% 1.44 Draw 22% 4.00 Chapecoense 14% 6.00

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 47% 2.02 Over 2.5 53% 1.80 Over 1.5 @1.25

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 56% 1.75 Yes 44% 1.95

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

69% verified · logged before kick-off

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Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

Carlos Vinícius

1+ Shots on Target

68% (model)

Carlos Vinícius averages 1.05 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game

Carlos Vinícius

Anytime Scorer

52% (model)

Carlos Vinícius on 0.48 goals/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 2.00 goals/game

Tetê

1+ Shots on Target

48% (model)

Tetê averages 0.59 SoT/match (17 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game

F. Amuzu

1+ Shots on Target

39% (model)

F. Amuzu averages 0.45 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game

Y. Bolasie

1+ Shots on Target

38% (model)

Y. Bolasie averages 0.53 SoT/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game

Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Key Stats

01The read

Gremio vs Chapecoense: Can the Hosts Deliver?

Gremio 60%, the draw 22%, Chapecoense 14%. That's the shape of this one.

Gremio have taken five points from their last five; Chapecoense are winless in their last five. Form gives little away going into this Brasileirão Série A tie.

Carlos Vinícius has been Gremio's spearhead, with 10 goals and 1 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 1.05 shots on target per game. Marcinho has been Chapecoense's main threat, with 3 goals and 1 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.38 shots on target per game.

Our pick Tracking this league

Our PickGremio to win at @1.44. Model probability 60% vs implied 69%. The market is 10pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.

Model60%

Market69%

Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.

Key men

Carlos Vinícius Gremio · Attacker

10 goals · 1 assist in 21 apps

1.0 shots on target a game

Marcinho Chapecoense · Attacker

3 goals · 1 assist in 21 apps

0.4 shots on target a game

Key facts

⚽

Open Games Both teams score in 67% of Chapecoense's matches this season

▸ Form & goals

Gremio average 1.2 goals per game and Chapecoense manage 1.0. Combined that's just 2.2. We make it 53% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 44%.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

First Half Result

Gremio HT 1.91
Draw HT 2.38
Chapecoense HT 5.80

Top Anytime Scorers

Carlos Vinícius 52%

Team Intel

📊 Gremio · xG

For: 1.66/g Against: 1.05/g

⚠️ Outscoring xG by 0.34/g, possibly running hot

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Gremio vs Chapecoense Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Gremio Win	@1.44	59.5%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@4.00	22.3%	William Hill
Match Result	Chapecoense Win	@6.00	14.4%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.95	43.7%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@1.75	56.3%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@1.80	53.4%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@2.02	46.6%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.25	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@4.00	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@3.00	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.42	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Gremio

1L streak

Last 5 LWDDL

At home WDLWL

Clean sheets 18% BTTS 55% FTS 29%

Chapecoense

1 unbeaten

Last 5 DLDDL

On the road LDLLL

Clean sheets 8% BTTS 67% FTS 33%

Gremio vs Chapecoense Team Stats

Gremio

Position 9

Played 38

Record 13W-10D-15L

Goals F/A 47/50

Avg Goals Scored 1.20

Points 49

Overall Form LWDDL

Home Form WDLWL

Home Record 9W-5D-5L

Chapecoense

Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 1-0 10.2%

2-1 9.4%

2-0 8.2%

3-1 5.0%

3-0 4.4%

3-2 2.9%

4-1 2.0%

4-0 1.7%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 10 priced markets

Under 2.5 second half goals 85% @1.25 Betano
Gremio or Chapecoense (double chance) 85% @1.22 William Hill
Over 0.5 second half goals 84% @1.22 William Hill
Over 1.5 goals 82% @1.27 Betano
Over 0.5 first half goals 77% @1.40 Betano
Under 3.5 goals 75% @1.42 Betano
Chapecoense under 1 goals 74% @1.35 Marathon Bet
Gremio under 2.5 goals 74% @1.42 Betano
Gremio to win 69% @1.50 1xBet
Under 1.5 first half goals 69% @1.50 William Hill

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Gremio v Chapecoense builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 80% @ 1.26
2 Over 1.5 Goals 75% @ 1.33
3 Both Teams to Score - No 56% @ 1.78

@2.98 £10 returns £29.79

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The record

69%

verified hit rate across 768 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

See every pick ›

Gremio vs Chapecoense: FAQs

Who will win Gremio vs Chapecoense?

Our model makes Gremio the favourite with a 59.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.

What are the best odds for Gremio vs Chapecoense?

Best available odds: Gremio @ 1.44, Draw @ 4.00, Chapecoense @ 6.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Gremio vs Chapecoense kick off?

Gremio vs Chapecoense kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 22:30 in the Brasileirão Série A.

Gremio vs Chapecoense Predictions & Odds

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Player Form

Key Stats

Gremio vs Chapecoense: Can the Hosts Deliver?

First Half Result

Top Anytime Scorers

Latest News

Team Intel

Gremio vs Chapecoense Odds Comparison

Recent Form

Gremio

Chapecoense

Gremio vs Chapecoense Team Stats

Gremio

Chapecoense

Most Likely Scorelines

Full Market Breakdown

Market singles 10 priced markets

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Gremio vs Chapecoense: FAQs

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