Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction

Sunday 11 October 2026, 12:00 Scottish Premiership

Build this bet

1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Motherwell 16% Draw 21% Celtic 60%

The read

The desk

Celtic travel in far better away form than Motherwell's home form suggests, backed by a one-sided head to head and a Motherwell side missing a forward to a knee injury. Expect Celtic on top without assuming a rout; the draw and home upset routes look thin given how the recent runs and head to head both lean the same way.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.40Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.40

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Motherwell

Callum Hendry: out (knee) · Oscar Priestman: doubt (hamstring, international duty)

Celtic

Alistair Johnston: positive injury update · Callum Osmand: positive injury update · Yang Hyun-jun: doubt (hamstring, international duty) · Benjamin Nygren: sent home from international camp ill

Checked Thu 8 Oct, 02:46.

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Double chance: Motherwell or Draw 2.31

Motherwell have lost 3 of their last 5 (L L L W D) and sit on just L W D at home in their last three; Celtic have won 8 of the last 10 h2h and get Johnston and Osmand back, while Motherwell lose Hendry (knee, out).

The research desk on this game:

“Away form, h2h and a Motherwell forward out all point one way: Celtic win, not a rout”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Motherwell win 5.50 18%
Draw 4.50 22%
Celtic win 1.60 62%
Motherwell or draw 2.62 38%
Celtic or draw 1.18 85%
Either side to win, no draw 1.20 83%
Over 2.5 goals 1.40 71%
Both teams to score 1.53 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

16 markets
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.22
Celtic under 3 goals Marathon Bet 1.19
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.25
Under 12.5 corners Betano 1.25
Celtic over 4.5 corners Betano 1.27
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.36
Motherwell over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Under 4 goals Betano 1.42
Motherwell over 2.5 corners Betano 1.34
Motherwell under 1.5 goals BetVictor 1.40
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Over 8.5 corners Betano 1.39
Celtic over 1.5 goals BetVictor 1.44
Celtic to win William Hill 1.60
Both teams to score: Yes Bet365 1.53

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Home win 6.00 to 4.60 shortening
Under 2.5 goals 2.62 to 3.00 drifting, longer
BTTS no 2.15 to 2.45 drifting, longer
Away win 1.44 to 1.60 drifting, longer
Home or draw 2.50 to 2.25 shortening
BTTS yes 1.65 to 1.50 shortening
Draw 4.33 to 4.00 shortening
Over 2.5 goals 1.50 to 1.40 shortening
No draw 1.22 to 1.20 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Motherwell LLLWDD

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. 7 scored, 10 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep at dundee 1-2 Lost
Tue 15 Sep v Aberdeen 0-4 Lost
Sat 5 Sep at rangers 0-1 Lost
Wed 2 Sep v Dundee United 3-0 Won
Sun 30 Aug at st mirren 3-3 Drew
Sun 9 Aug v Falkirk 0-0 Drew
Celtic LLWWWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 9 scored, 6 conceded.

Sun 20 Sep v Rangers 0-1 Lost
Thu 17 Sep v ferencvarosi tc 1-3 Lost
Wed 9 Sep at st johnstone 1-0 Won
Sat 5 Sep at st mirren 2-1 Won
Wed 2 Sep v Aberdeen 3-0 Won
Sat 29 Aug v Falkirk 2-1 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Motherwell v Celtic: the numbers

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MotherwellCeltic 4League position3 16-13-9League record, won-drawn-lost26-4-8 59-36Goals for and against73-41 54Points67 10-6-3Home record v away record11-3-5 1.60Scored a game1.90 0.90Conceded a game1.10 47%Clean sheets34% 18%Failed to score13% 43%Both teams scored44% 16%Over 2.5 goals34%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Motherwell v Celtic: head to head

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Motherwell won 1 1 draw Celtic won 8
3.6 goals a game 7/10 both scored 8/10 over 2.5
13 May 2026 Motherwell v Celtic 2-3
14 Mar 2026 Celtic v Motherwell 3-1
30 Dec 2025 Motherwell v Celtic 2-0
5 Oct 2025 Celtic v Motherwell 3-2
2 Feb 2025 Motherwell v Celtic 1-3
26 Dec 2024 Celtic v Motherwell 4-0
27 Oct 2024 Motherwell v Celtic 0-3
25 Feb 2024 Motherwell v Celtic 1-3
25 Nov 2023 Celtic v Motherwell 1-1
30 Sep 2023 Motherwell v Celtic 1-2

Motherwell vs Celtic: FAQs

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Motherwell vs Celtic prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.40. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Motherwell vs Celtic kick off?

Motherwell vs Celtic kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 UK time (Scottish Premiership).

What are the best odds for Motherwell vs Celtic?

The best prices across the books we track: Motherwell 5.50, the draw 4.50, Celtic 1.60. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Motherwell vs Celtic?

Motherwell: Callum Hendry: out (knee), Oscar Priestman: doubt (hamstring, international duty). Celtic: Alistair Johnston: positive injury update, Callum Osmand: positive injury update, Yang Hyun-jun: doubt (hamstring, international duty), Benjamin Nygren: sent home from international camp ill.

What form are Motherwell and Celtic in?

Motherwell have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L L L W D D, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Celtic have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L L W W W W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 6.

What is the head to head between Motherwell and Celtic?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Motherwell won 1, Celtic won 8 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 13 May 2026, finished Motherwell 2-3 Celtic.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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