Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
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Over 10.5 Match Corners
45% (model)
Corners: Celtic avg 6.4 for/4.8 against, Falkirk avg 4.5 for/4.8 against → expected 10.2 match corners
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Over 2.5 Match Cards
58% (model)
Cards: Celtic avg 1.0/game, Falkirk avg 2.0/game → expected 3.0 match cards
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls
68% (model)
Fouls: Celtic avg 12.0/game, Falkirk avg 15.0/game → expected 27.0 match fouls
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Over 26.5 Match Shots
55% (model)
Shots: Celtic avg 17.8/game, Falkirk avg 9.5/game → expected 27.3 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
In-Form Celtic Look to Pile Misery on Struggling Falkirk
Celtic 75%, the draw 14%, Falkirk 10%. That's the shape of this one.
Neck and neck in the Scottish Premiership standings. Celtic (3rd, 67 pts) host Falkirk (6th, 46 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickCeltic to win at @1.22. Model probability 75% vs implied 82%. The market is 7pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
🏟
Home Fortress
Celtic have won 15 of 19 at home (78%). They rarely slip up on their own patch
📊
H2H Dominance
Celtic have won 7 of the last 7 meetings. History firmly favours the hosts
⚖
Class Gap
Goal difference tells the story: Celtic at +32 vs Falkirk at -12. A chasm in quality
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 75% of Celtic's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
Celtic supporters have every reason to fancy this one. Their side is flying. unbeaten in 5. That D-W-W-W-W run is the kind of form you dream about heading into a game like this. It's been tougher going for Falkirk lately (D-L-L-L-L), recent form reads D-L-L-L-L. but their fans know football rarely reads the script. One good start, one moment of quality, and Falkirk are right back in it. On paper it's Celtic's to lose, and that pressure cuts both ways. Crucially, Celtic are in strong home form while Falkirk are struggling away from home. the venue factor amplifies the form gap.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Celtic are scoring 1.9 a game (2.3 of those at home) and Falkirk manage 1.3 (0.9 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 71%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.7 goals when they meet, with 5 of the last 7 producing three or more.
▸ Team news & context
Both sides are in the hunt for a top-four finish. Celtic (3rd) and Falkirk (6th) know this is must-win territory. A defeat here would be a real blow to their European hopes.
Celtic are all-out attack: 1.9 goals a game, but they leak 1.1 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Falkirk, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 7 meetings: Celtic have won 7, Falkirk 0, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 3.7 goals per game. 5 of the last 7 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Celtic 3-1 Falkirk, Celtic 2-0 Falkirk, Falkirk 0-1 Celtic.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
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Celtic HT
1.55
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Draw HT
2.90
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Falkirk HT
9.00
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Celtic vs Falkirk Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Celtic Win |
@1.22
|
74.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@6.00
|
13.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Falkirk Win |
@10.00
|
9.7% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.80
|
47.6% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.95
|
52.4% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.40
|
70.7% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@3.04
|
29.3% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.11
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@6.50
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.00
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.87
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Celtic vs Falkirk Team Stats
Celtic
Position
3
Played
38
Record
26W-4D-8L
Goals F/A
73/41
Avg Goals Scored
1.90
Points
67
Overall Form
DWWWW
Home Form
WWWW
Home Record
15W-1D-3L
Falkirk
Position
6
Played
38
Record
14W-7D-17L
Goals F/A
50/62
Avg Goals Scored
1.30
Points
46
Overall Form
DLLLL
Away Form
DLL
Away Record
7W-2D-9L
Celtic vs Falkirk Head to Head
7 Home Wins
0 Draws
0 Away Wins
3.7
Avg Goals
3/7
BTTS
5/7
Over 2.5
2026-04-25
Celtic 3-1 Falkirk
2026-02-01
Celtic 2-0 Falkirk
2026-01-14
Celtic 1-0 Falkirk
2025-10-29
Celtic 4-0 Falkirk
2025-08-15
Celtic 4-1 Falkirk
2024-09-22
Celtic 5-2 Falkirk
2021-04-03
Celtic 3-0 Falkirk
Full Celtic vs Falkirk head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
4-0
2.0%
4-2
1.5%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices
-
Over 2.5 goals
76%
@1.40
Bet365
-
Sebastian Tounekti 1+ shots on target
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Callum Osmand 1+ shots on target
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Joao Pedro Jota 1+ shots on target
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Michel Ange Balikwisha 1+ shots on target
83%
@1.20
Bet365
Combined 2.85
· £5 returns
£14.27
Market singles 12 priced markets
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Under 2.5 first half goals
85%
@1.22
10Bet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
85%
@1.24
Betano
-
Johnny Kenny 3+ shots
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Sebastian Tounekti 1+ shots on target
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Celtic to win
83%
@1.24
10Bet
-
Hyun-Jun Yang 2+ shots
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Callum Osmand 1+ shots on target
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Celtic over 1.5 goals
82%
@1.25
1xBet
-
Over 2.5 goals
76%
@1.40
Bet365
-
Under 4.5 goals
76%
@1.37
Betano
-
Celtic under 3.5 goals
75%
@1.39
Betano
-
Falkirk under 1 goals
74%
@1.36
Marathon Bet
Build a slip from these markets →