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Celje 32%, the draw 29%, Slovan Bratislava 39%. That's the shape of this one.
Celje have won three of their last six; Slovan Bratislava are unbeaten in their last six. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Champions League tie.
M. Kvesić has been Celje's spearhead, with 0 goals and 1 assists in 5 appearances. P. Pokorný has been Slovan Bratislava's main threat, with 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 appearances.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Celje are scoring 1.5 a game (1.5 of those at home) and Slovan Bratislava manage 2.5 (2.5 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 49%. Two or more goals at @1.28 is a steadier alternative for accas.
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
Celje do it the hard way: only 1.5 a game up top, but a mean 0.8 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Slovan Bratislava are similarly well-balanced. 2.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
In the last 3 meetings: Celje have won 0, Slovan Bratislava 1, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 1 of the last 3 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Celje, Slovan Bratislava 5-0 Celje, Celje 1-1 Slovan Bratislava.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (12%) and 1-1 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Celje Win | @2.38 | 32.1% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.10 | 28.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Slovan Bratislava Win | @2.80 | 39.2% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.73 | 49.0% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.00 | 51.0% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.95 | 49.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.88 | 50.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.28 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.33 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Combined 3.39 · £5 returns £16.97
Our model makes Slovan Bratislava the favourite with a 39.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Celje @ 2.38, Draw @ 3.10, Slovan Bratislava @ 2.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Celje vs Slovan Bratislava kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 20:00 in the Champions League.