Estoril v Casa Pia

Sunday 20 September 2026, 18:00 Primeira Liga

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72% across 1040 graded picks, in public. The record

The model's read

Estoril 51% Draw 25% Casa Pia 23%

The read

The desk

Estoril host a Casa Pia side sitting bottom of the table and missing four outfield players plus their first-choice keeper, while Estoril themselves are patched together after a red card cost them their centre-back. Neither side has won in weeks, so this reads as a scrappy game that could easily end level.

The desk's full read on this game, who is missing and the call with its reason, is in FBB Pro. Seven days for £1.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Estoril to win
the model's number, in Pro 1.75William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public - the whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.75

Your slip

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3 legs, one per market family, built for this game.

Every leg with the model's number beside it, the combined price, and what we left out and why. Tap any leg to move it to your slip. Seven days for £1.

The research

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The research desk on this game:

“Two bottom-half strugglers meet, but Casa Pia's injury list is far heavier than Estoril's”

The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. The reason, the team news and every market's grade sit inside.

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, the team news by name, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. Seven days for £1 opens the whole card, on this game and every other.

The model v the market

Always free
Best priceImplied
Estoril win 1.75 57%
Draw 3.50 29%
Casa Pia win 4.40 23%
Estoril or draw 1.20 83%
Casa Pia or draw 1.95 51%
Either side to win, no draw 1.29 78%
Over 2.5 goals 1.90 53%
Both teams to score 1.80 56%

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. Seven days for £1.

Every priced market

22 markets
Over 5.5 shots on target Betano 1.18
Over 19.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.19
Over 0.5 second half goals William Hill 1.25
Estoril or Casa Pia (double chance) William Hill 1.29
Under 11.5 corners 1xBet 1.26
Estoril under 2.5 goals Betano 1.30
Estoril over 3.5 corners Betano 1.36
Casa Pia over 2.5 corners Betano 1.25
Under 10.5 shots on target Betano 1.22
Casa Pia under 5.5 corners 1xBet 1.23
Over 1.5 goals Betano 1.30
Casa Pia under 1.5 goals 1xBet 1.28
Under 27.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.25
Estoril over 1 goals 1xBet 1.27
Under 2 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.42
Under 3.5 goals Pinnacle 1.36
Under 6.5 cards Betano 1.32
Estoril under 6.5 corners 1xBet 1.33
Over 0.5 first half goals Betano 1.44
Over 3.5 cards Betano 1.35
Under 1.5 first half goals William Hill 1.44

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in FBB Pro.

Recent winners

Graded in public

Every pick is logged before kick-off and graded whatever happens. The full record, losses included.

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The written card on this game and every other, the built slip with the model's number on each leg, and every call in your Telegram the moment it locks. Cancel any time. We publish the misses too.

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