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Cambuur 14%, the draw 24%, Twente 61%. That's the shape of this one.
Cambuur have lost four in a row; Twente have taken 7 points from their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Eredivisie tie.
Our PickTwente to win at @1.54. Model probability 61% vs implied 65%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Cambuur are scoring 1.0 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Twente manage 1.7 (1.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 59%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
In the last 9 meetings: Cambuur have won 1, Twente 6, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.2 goals per game. 4 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Twente 4-0 Cambuur, Cambuur 0-1 Twente, Twente 1-0 Cambuur.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Cambuur Win | @6.50 | 13.6% | Betfair |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.50 | 23.6% | Betfair |
| Match Result | Twente Win | @1.54 | 61.2% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.73 | 48.1% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | No | @2.05 | 51.9% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.63 | 58.6% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.34 | 41.4% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.14 | - | 1xBet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.80 | - | 1xBet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.40 | - | 1xBet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.50 | - | 1xBet |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Twente the favourite with a 61.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Cambuur @ 6.50, Draw @ 4.50, Twente @ 1.54. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Cambuur vs Twente kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 in the Eredivisie.