Botafogo vs Atletico-MG Prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 00:30 Brasileirão Série A1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Botafogo 48%
Draw 24%
Atletico-MG 28%
The read
The deskBotafogo have steadied at home while Atletico-MG still haven't won on the road in five games, so the double chance covering a Botafogo win or draw looks like the shape of this one. Expect goals from both sides given Botafogo's loose recent form, but don't mistake the away side's decent table position for road form, because it isn't backed by results.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProThe trap here is the table position gap, Atletico-MG sit 7th against Botafogo's 12th, which tempts a straight away-win bet. But Atletico-MG haven't won away in 5 (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), and the head to head over the last 10 meetings has them winning only 3 times against Botafogo's 5. Botafogo's home form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 5) is solid enough that a clean away win doesn't fit the pattern
“Botafogo unbeaten in 2 at home, Atletico-MG without a win in 5 away, double chance is the shape here”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo win | 1.95 | 51% | |
| Draw | 3.60 | 28% | |
| Atletico-MG win | 3.80 | 26% | |
| Botafogo or draw | 1.29 | 78% | |
| Atletico-MG or draw | 1.80 | 56% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.29 | 78% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 60% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 | 62% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
18 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBotafogo
LLWDLL
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 4 scored, 10 conceded.
at Remo
1-2
Lost
at Internacional
0-3
Lost
v Chapecoense SC
1-0
Won
at Coritiba
1-1
Drew
v Vasco Da Gama
1-2
Lost
at Mirassol
0-2
Lost
Atletico-MG
LLWWDW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 8 scored, 7 conceded.
v Cruzeiro
0-1
Lost
at Flamengo
2-3
Lost
v Coritiba
1-0
Won
v Santos
2-1
Won
at Atletico Paranaense
2-2
Drew
v RB Bragantino
1-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Botafogo v Atletico-MG: the numbers
Always freeBotafogoAtletico-MG
12League position7
10-9-14League record, won-drawn-lost14-8-11
45-53Goals for and against44-39
39Points50
6-6-4Home record v away record4-3-9
1.40Scored a game1.30
1.60Conceded a game1.20
1.10xG for a game1.37
15%Clean sheets24%
24%Failed to score30%
65%Both teams scored55%
18%Over 2.5 goals18%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Botafogo v Atletico-MG: head to head
Always freeAtletico-MG v Botafogo
1-1
Botafogo v Atletico-MG
1-0
Atletico-MG v Botafogo
1-0
Atletico-MG v Botafogo
1-3
Atletico-MG v Botafogo
0-0
Botafogo v Atletico-MG
3-0
Atletico-MG v Botafogo
1-0
Botafogo v Atletico-MG
2-0
Atletico-MG v Botafogo
0-2
Botafogo v Atletico-MG
0-1
Botafogo vs Atletico-MG: FAQs
Always freeBotafogo vs Atletico-MG prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Botafogo or Draw at 1.29. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Botafogo vs Atletico-MG kick off?
Botafogo vs Atletico-MG kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 00:30 UK time (Brasileirão Série A).
What are the best odds for Botafogo vs Atletico-MG?
The best prices across the books we track: Botafogo 1.95, the draw 3.60, Atletico-MG 3.80. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Botafogo and Atletico-MG in?
Botafogo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L L W D L L, newest first), scoring 4 and conceding 10. Atletico-MG have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L L W W D W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 7.
What is the head to head between Botafogo and Atletico-MG?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Botafogo won 5, Atletico-MG won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 10 May 2026, finished Atletico-MG 1-1 Botafogo.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Mon 2 Nov
Pro single
Sonderjyske v FC Copenhagen
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 1 Nov
Pro single
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
1.36
Over 1.5 goals (2-0) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Peterborough v Luton
1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.