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Too close to call on the numbers. Borac Banja Luka 41%, Vikingur Reykjavik 44%, the draw live at 26%.
Borac Banja Luka have won four of their last five; Vikingur Reykjavik have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this Europa Conference League tie.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.65. Model probability 61% vs implied 61%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Borac Banja Luka will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Vikingur Reykjavik's away record reads W1 D0 L2. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
Goals look likely here. Borac Banja Luka average 1.5 per game (1.0 at home) and Vikingur Reykjavik chip in with 2.8 (0.7 away). Defensively, Borac Banja Luka concede 4.0 at home and Vikingur Reykjavik leak 2.0 on the road. We make it 61% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.0 goals when they meet, with 1 of the last 2 producing three or more.
Vikingur Reykjavik have goals in them (2.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.3 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Both sides keep clean sheets regularly. This could be a tight, low-block affair where the first goal is decisive.
In the last 2 meetings: Borac Banja Luka have won 1, Vikingur Reykjavik 1, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 1 of the last 2 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Vikingur Reykjavik 1-3 Borac Banja Luka, Vikingur Reykjavik 2-0 Borac Banja Luka.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Borac Banja Luka Win | @2.10 | 40.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.40 | 25.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Vikingur Reykjavik Win | @3.00 | 44.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.53 | 55.7% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.40 | 44.3% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.65 | 61.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.34 | 39.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.20 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.52 | - | Bet365 |
Limited recent meetings (2), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Full Borac Banja Luka vs Vikingur Reykjavik head-to-head history →
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Vikingur Reykjavik the favourite with a 44.1% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Borac Banja Luka @ 2.10, Draw @ 3.40, Vikingur Reykjavik @ 3.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Borac Banja Luka vs Vikingur Reykjavik kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:30 in the Europa Conference League.