Lecce vs Bologna Prediction

Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 Serie A

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1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Lecce 24% Draw 29% Bologna 47%

The read

The desk

Bologna's record against Lecce looks one-sided, seven wins and three draws in the last ten meetings, but this is a different Bologna: eighteenth in the table, five games without a win, and missing Odgaard, their main creative outlet, through injury. Backing the history over the current form is the trap here, the goals markets read better than the result.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.36Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.36

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Lecce

Berisha: individual training, muscle overload, doubtful · Stulic: personalized training, doubtful · Kaba: missed training, mild flu, questionable

Bologna

Odgaard: out, thigh flexor injury, ruled out for this match

Checked Thu 8 Oct, 04:09.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Both teams to score, Yes 1.83

The trap read is two leaky sides leaking at both ends, but Bologna's D L D L L run plus the Odgaard absence, their main creative outlet, out with a thigh injury, points to a blunted attack, and Lecce's own home scoring is inconsistent, W L in the last two. The evidence points at a tight, low-scoring game rather than goals at both ends.

KILLED
Bologna to win 1.85

The casual read is Bologna's h2h dominance, 7 wins and 3 draws in the last 10 with zero Lecce wins, should repeat. But this Bologna is 18th and on D L D L L with back to back away losses, has just changed manager, Palladino in for the sacked Tedesco, and is missing Odgaard, their main attacking outlet, through injury. Lecce have a home win in their last two, W L.

The research desk on this game:

“Bologna's h2h dominance masks a toothless, Odgaard-less side; goals markets beat the result bet here.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Lecce win 24% 4.20 24%
Draw 29% 3.40 29%
Bologna win 47% 1.91 52%
Lecce or draw 54% 1.91 52%
Bologna or draw 80%+ 1.22 82%
Either side to win, no draw 1.33 75%
Over 2.5 goals 44% 2.10 48%
Both teams to score 52% 1.91 52%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

20 markets
Bologna or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.22
Lecce under 6 corners 1xBet 1.18
Bologna over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Lecce over 2.5 corners Betano 1.24
Bologna under 6.5 corners Betano 1.21
Over 7 corners 1xBet 1.21
Under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Under 11 corners 1xBet 1.22
Lecce or Bologna (double chance) Bet365 1.33
Under 2 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Over 0.5 second half goals Bet365 1.28
Lecce under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Bologna under 6 corners 1xBet 1.25
Under 5 cards Pinnacle 1.27
Under 5.5 cards Betano 1.27
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Bologna under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.33
Under 1.5 first half goals William Hill 1.36
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.44
Under 8.5 shots on target Betano 1.45

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Home win 3.60 to 3.90 drifting, longer
Home or draw 1.73 to 1.83 drifting, longer
BTTS no 1.95 to 1.85 shortening
Over 2.5 goals 2.00 to 2.10 drifting, longer
Away win 2.00 to 1.91 shortening
BTTS yes 1.83 to 1.91 drifting, longer
Under 2.5 goals 1.88 to 1.81 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Lecce LWLLW

Last 5, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 5 scored, 10 conceded.

Sun 20 Sep at ac milan 0-3 Lost
Sun 13 Sep v monza 3-2 Won
Mon 7 Sep at cagliari 0-1 Lost
Mon 31 Aug v AS Roma 0-4 Lost
Sun 23 Aug at venezia 2-0 Won
Bologna DLDLL

Last 5, newest first: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. 3 scored, 6 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep v Torino 1-1 Drew
Sun 13 Sep at napoli 0-1 Lost
Sun 6 Sep v Sassuolo 2-2 Drew
Mon 31 Aug at atalanta 0-1 Lost
Mon 24 Aug v Lazio 0-1 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Lecce v Bologna: the numbers

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LecceBologna 12League position18 2-0-3League record, won-drawn-lost0-2-3 5-10Goals for and against3-6 6Points2 1-0-1Home record v away record0-0-2 1.00Scored a game0.60 2.00Conceded a game1.20 com.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@23188621xG forcom.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@63c51c6e 26%Clean sheets32% 50%Failed to score29% 37%Both teams scored45%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Lecce v Bologna: head to head

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Lecce won 0 3 draws Bologna won 7
3.0 goals a game 5/10 both scored 5/10 over 2.5
12 Apr 2026 Bologna v Lecce 2-0
28 Sep 2025 Lecce v Bologna 2-2
9 Feb 2025 Lecce v Bologna 0-0
2 Nov 2024 Bologna v Lecce 1-0
11 Feb 2024 Bologna v Lecce 4-0
3 Dec 2023 Lecce v Bologna 1-1
4 Jun 2023 Lecce v Bologna 2-3
23 Oct 2022 Bologna v Lecce 2-0
26 Jul 2020 Bologna v Lecce 3-2
22 Dec 2019 Lecce v Bologna 2-3

Likely scorelines

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0-112% 0-28%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Lecce vs Bologna: FAQs

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Lecce vs Bologna prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.36. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Lecce vs Bologna kick off?

Lecce vs Bologna kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time (Serie A).

What are the best odds for Lecce vs Bologna?

The best prices across the books we track: Lecce 4.20, the draw 3.40, Bologna 1.91. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Lecce vs Bologna?

Lecce: Berisha: individual training, muscle overload, doubtful, Stulic: personalized training, doubtful, Kaba: missed training, mild flu, questionable. Bologna: Odgaard: out, thigh flexor injury, ruled out for this match.

What form are Lecce and Bologna in?

Lecce have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 (L W L L W, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 10. Bologna have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 (D L D L L, newest first), scoring 3 and conceding 6.

What is the head to head between Lecce and Bologna?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Lecce won 0, Bologna won 7 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 12 Apr 2026, finished Bologna 2-0 Lecce.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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