1068 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
West Brom host Birmingham at the Hawthorns with the home side fifth and the visitors tenth, and the recent form lines are unimpressive on both sides. The useful information is absence news: Galves is out for the season, while Birmingham's Paik and Osayi-Samuel are doubts.
Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Galves: out for season (ACL) · Styles: expected to play (minor knock) · Morgan: expected to play (minor knock)
Paik Seung-ho: doubt (injury not revealed) · Osayi-Samuel: doubt (possible fitness issue)
Checked Wed 7 Oct, 01:15.
The evidence says this is the wrong bet. Birmingham sit tenth with Paik Seung-ho doubtful after withdrawing from South Korea with an injury nobody has explained, and Bright Osayi-Samuel doubtful after withdrawing from Nigeria with a possible fitness problem. Their last two away games are a win and a loss, and nothing in the pack shows an away side able to win at the Hawthorns.
The bet a casual reader takes for a derby. The pack has no scoring or conceding runs for either side, and this price sits in the 1.50 to 1.74 band where our graded record is 36.8 percent against the 61.4 the price needs. Nothing found here overrides that band record, and the team news does not supply the evidence: the absences are Galves at West Brom and two Birmingham doubts.
“West Brom have the advantage at the Hawthorns, but the price leaves little room to bet it.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 37% | 2.30 | 43% |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 | 29% |
| Birmingham win | 37% | 3.10 | 32% |
| West Brom or draw | 73% | 1.40 | 71% |
| Birmingham or draw | 63% | 1.62 | 62% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.33 | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 1.91 | 52% |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 1.67 | 60% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Last 3, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 2 scored, 2 conceded.
Last 4, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 7 scored, 7 conceded.
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.28. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
West Brom vs Birmingham kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 UK time (Championship).
The best prices across the books we track: West Brom 2.30, the draw 3.40, Birmingham 3.10. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
West Brom: Galves: out for season (ACL), Styles: expected to play (minor knock), Morgan: expected to play (minor knock). Birmingham: Paik Seung-ho: doubt (injury not revealed), Osayi-Samuel: doubt (possible fitness issue).
West Brom have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 (L D W, newest first), scoring 2 and conceding 2. Birmingham have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 (D W L D, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 7.
In their last 10 meetings on our record, West Brom won 3, Birmingham won 5 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 10 Feb 2026, finished Birmingham 0-0 West Brom.
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.