Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:30 Bundesliga1207 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Bayern München 67%
Draw 20%
Borussia Dortmund 13%
The read
The deskBayern arrive top of the table and in red-hot home form, while Dortmund travel having won three of their last five away games despite missing creative spark Konstantinos Karetsas to an ankle injury. Expect goals at both ends more than a cagey scoreline, with the home side's control the bigger threat to Dortmund's unbeaten away run.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeBayern MünchenManuel Neuer: doubt (foot, missed Freiburg)
Borussia DortmundKonstantinos Karetsas: doubt (ankle/foot ligament, missed Frankfurt and Sabah)
Checked Wed 28 Oct, 00:45.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProThe trap: Dortmund's own away form, 3 wins and a draw in their last 5, makes this look like cheap insurance. But the weight of evidence runs the other way: Bayern sit top of the table to Dortmund's 2nd, are unbeaten in 5 with 4 wins from 5 at home, and have won 5 of the last 10 meetings to Dortmund's 2. Dortmund also travel without Karetsas, their creative outlet, after he missed both the Frankfurt league game and the Sabah trip.
The trap: stacking the clear favourite with a goals kicker feels like a safe double. But Karetsas, Dortmund's creative outlet, is a doubt after missing the Frankfurt league game and the Sabah trip, trimming their main source of away goals, while Bayern have won 4 of their last 5 at home and lead the head-to-head 5 wins to 2 over the last 10 meetings. A routine Bayern win that shuts Dortmund out reads at least as likely as one where Dortmund score too.
“Bayern's home form and Dortmund's travelling goals point to a high-scoring Klassiker, not a classic”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München win | 67% | 1.33 | 75% |
| Draw | 20% | 5.75 | 17% |
| Borussia Dortmund win | 13% | 7.50 | 13% |
| Bayern München or draw | 1.10 | 91% | |
| Borussia Dortmund or draw | 35% | 3.40 | 29% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.15 | 87% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | 1.25 | 80% |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 1.44 | 69% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
22 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBayern München
WDWDDW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost. 23 scored, 9 conceded.
at SC Freiburg
3-1
Won
v Arsenal
2-2
Drew
v RB Leipzig
6-1
Won
at Viking FK
3-3
Drew
at FC Augsburg
2-2
Drew
v 1. FC Union Berlin
7-0
Won
Borussia Dortmund
WWDLDW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 6 scored, 4 conceded.
v Eintracht Frankfurt
1-0
Won
at Sabah FK
2-1
Won
at 1. FC Union Berlin
0-0
Drew
at Bodo/glimt
0-1
Lost
v Werder Bremen
2-2
Drew
at VFB Stuttgart
1-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund: the numbers
Always freeBayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
1League position2
5-2-0League record, won-drawn-lost5-2-0
25-6Goals for and against12-4
17Points17
3-0-0Home record v away record2-1-0
3.57Scored a game1.71
0.86Conceded a game0.57
3.40xG for a game1.67
35%Clean sheets44%
6%Failed to score6%
65%Both teams scored50%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund: head to head
Always freeBorussia Dortmund v Bayern München
1-2
Borussia Dortmund v Bayern München
2-3
Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund
2-1
Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund
2-2
Borussia Dortmund v Bayern München
1-1
Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
0-2
Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich
0-4
Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
4-2
Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich
2-2
Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
3-1
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: FAQs
Always freeBayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.25. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:30 UK time (Bundesliga).
What are the best odds for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?
The best prices across the books we track: Bayern München 1.33, the draw 5.75, Borussia Dortmund 7.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?
Bayern München: Manuel Neuer: doubt (foot, missed Freiburg). Borussia Dortmund: Konstantinos Karetsas: doubt (ankle/foot ligament, missed Frankfurt and Sabah).
What form are Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund in?
Bayern München have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W D W D D W, newest first), scoring 23 and conceding 9. Borussia Dortmund have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W D L D W, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 4.
What is the head to head between Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Bayern München won 5, Borussia Dortmund won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 22 Aug 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern München.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.