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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
The model makes AZ Alkmaar 66% favourites here. Go Ahead Eagles carry the 14% upset.
AZ Alkmaar (7th, 52 pts) host Go Ahead Eagles (12th, 38 pts) in the Eredivisie. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Our PickAZ Alkmaar to win at @1.41. Model probability 66% vs implied 71%. The market is 5pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
AZ Alkmaar will be looking to make home advantage count (W8 D7 L2 at home). Go Ahead Eagles's away record reads W2 D7 L8. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
Goals are a tough one to call here. AZ Alkmaar are scoring 1.7 a game (2.3 of those at home) and Go Ahead Eagles manage 1.6 (1.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 67%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.4 goals when they meet, with 7 of the last 10 producing three or more.
In the last 10 meetings: AZ Alkmaar have won 6, Go Ahead Eagles 0, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 3.4 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 AZ Alkmaar, AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles, Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ Alkmaar.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | AZ Alkmaar Win | @1.41 | 66.0% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Draw | @5.25 | 18.5% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Go Ahead Eagles Win | @7.05 | 13.5% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.60 | 52.1% | Marathon Bet |
| BTTS | No | @2.19 | 47.9% | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.38 | 67.4% | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.64 | 32.6% | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.08 | - | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @5.55 | - | Marathon Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.11 | - | 1xBet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.76 | - | 1xBet |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite with a 66.0% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: AZ Alkmaar @ 1.41, Draw @ 5.25, Go Ahead Eagles @ 7.05. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:45 in the Eredivisie.