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The model makes SC Braga 50% favourites here. Austria Vienna carry the 23% upset.
Austria Vienna have taken five points from their last five; SC Braga are winless in their last five. Form gives little away going into this Europa Conference League tie.
R. Ranftl has been Austria Vienna's spearhead, with 1 goals and 0 assists in 5 appearances, averaging 0.20 shots on target per game. Pau Victor has been SC Braga's main threat, with 1 goals and 0 assists in 5 appearances, averaging 0.40 shots on target per game.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Austria Vienna are scoring 2.8 a game (1.5 of those at home) and SC Braga manage 1.6 (1.6 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
Austria Vienna are all-out attack: 2.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.3 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at SC Braga, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Austria Vienna Win | @3.80 | 22.8% | Dafabet |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.75 | 27.5% | Betfair |
| Match Result | SC Braga Win | @2.00 | 49.7% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.75 | 48.1% | Betano |
| BTTS | No | @2.00 | 51.9% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.95 | 50.0% | Betano |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.92 | 50.0% | Betano |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.31 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.45 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.25 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.35 | - | Betano |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Limited recent meetings (1), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes SC Braga the favourite with a 49.7% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Austria Vienna @ 3.80, Draw @ 3.75, SC Braga @ 2.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Austria Vienna vs SC Braga kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:30 in the Europa Conference League.