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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Atletico Paranaense 48%, the draw 27%, RB Bragantino 26%. That's the shape of this one.
The bookmakers open Atletico Paranaense at @2.05 for this Brasileirão Série A tie, with RB Bragantino out at @3.50.
Lucas Barbosa has been RB Bragantino's main threat, with 4 goals and 2 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 0.94 shots on target per game.
Atletico Paranaense average 0.0 goals per game and RB Bragantino manage 1.2. Combined that's just 1.2. We make it only 41% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 45%.
Atletico Paranaense do it the hard way: only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Atletico Paranaense Win | @2.05 | 47.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.10 | 26.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | RB Bragantino Win | @3.50 | 25.7% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.91 | 44.9% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @1.80 | 55.1% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @2.15 | 41.4% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.70 | 58.6% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.36 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.20 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @4.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.26 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Atletico Paranaense the favourite with a 47.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Atletico Paranaense @ 2.05, Draw @ 3.10, RB Bragantino @ 3.50. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 22:30 in the Brasileirão Série A.