Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty Prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 17:45 Europa Conference League1245 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Atalanta 71%
Draw 16%
Kairat Almaty 13%
The read
The deskAtalanta are big favourites at home against a Kairat side that has not won away in four games and sits sixteen places lower in the table. The real risk is a stretched Atalanta defence, missing Scalvini, Sulemana and Bellanova, which keeps a goal in play even in a match the home side should still win.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeAtalantaScalvini: out, ankle · Sulemana: out, knee ligament · Bellanova: doubt, thigh strain · Kessie: doubt, recovering
Kairat AlmatyNo absences found.
Checked Mon 2 Nov, 01:24.
2 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProKairat have lost 4 of their last 5 and haven't won away in 4; a side that can't win right now isn't a reliable bet to score against a team still 16 places above them. The desk's own graded record on BTTS between 1.75 and 2.09 is 29.0 percent against the 54.3 percent the price needs, over 31 bets, this fixture's prices sit in that band.
Kairat have lost 4 of their last 5, haven't won away in 4, and sit 16 places below Atalanta (31st v 15th); avoiding defeat here runs against every form line in the pack. This is also the natural hedge a casual reader reaches for against a short Atalanta price, and the evidence says it's the wrong side of the game, not just a short-price trap.
“Heavy favourites at home; Kairat's barren away run makes goals and a home win likelier than a shock.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta win | 1.17 | 85% | |
| Draw | 7.00 | 14% | |
| Kairat Almaty win | 15.00 | 7% | |
| Atalanta or draw | 1.04 | 96% | |
| Kairat Almaty or draw | 5.00 | 20% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.10 | 91% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 71% | |
| Both teams to score | 2.00 | 50% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeAtalanta
LDDLLW
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. 11 scored, 15 conceded.
v Parma
0-3
Lost
at Fiorentina
2-2
Drew
v Frosinone
4-4
Drew
at Ajax Amsterdam
0-2
Lost
at AC Milan
2-3
Lost
v Pafos
3-1
Won
Kairat Almaty
LDLLLL
Last 6, newest first: 0 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost. 2 scored, 14 conceded.
v Panathinaikos
1-5
Lost
at Riga FC
1-1
Drew
at Anderlecht
0-3
Lost
v Anderlecht
0-3
Lost
v Levski Sofia
0-1
Lost
at Levski Sofia
0-1
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Atalanta v Kairat Almaty: the numbers
Always freeAtalantaKairat Almaty
15League position31
2-1-1League record, won-drawn-lost0-1-1
4-3Goals for and against2-6
3Points1
1-1-0Home record v away record0-1-0
1.00Scored a game1.00
0.80Conceded a game3.00
50%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score50%
60%Both teams scored30%
25%Over 2.5 goals0%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Atalanta v Kairat Almaty: head to head
Always freeA first meeting: Atalanta and Kairat Almaty have not played each other in the record we hold.
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: FAQs
Always freeAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Atalanta to win at 1.17. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty kick off?
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 17:45 UK time (Europa Conference League).
What are the best odds for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
The best prices across the books we track: Atalanta 1.17, the draw 7.00, Kairat Almaty 15.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Atalanta: Scalvini: out, ankle, Sulemana: out, knee ligament, Bellanova: doubt, thigh strain, Kessie: doubt, recovering. Kairat Almaty: no absences found.
What form are Atalanta and Kairat Almaty in?
Atalanta have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D D L L W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 15. Kairat Almaty have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 6 (L D L L L L, newest first), scoring 2 and conceding 14.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Tue 3 Nov
Pro single
Huddersfield v Luton
1.54
Over 2.5 goals (1-1) Lost
-
Mon 2 Nov
Pro single
Sonderjyske v FC Copenhagen
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 1 Nov
Pro single
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
1.36
Over 1.5 goals (2-0) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Peterborough v Luton
1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.