Tottenham v Aston Villa

Saturday 19 September 2026, 12:30 Premier League

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72% across 1021 graded picks, in public. The record

The model's read

Tottenham 45% Draw 25% Aston Villa 32%

The read

The desk

Tottenham's home form is stuck on draws and losses and three of their attacking players, Simons, Mudryk and Kulusevski, are missing, so goals will be scarce from the home side. Aston Villa arrive with genuinely useful away form despite their poor overall run, and their own absences even things up. Expect a tight, low-scoring game rather than a home banker.

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The model says

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The call on this game Tottenham or Draw

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public - the whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.29

Your slip

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Every leg with the model's number beside it, the combined price, and what we left out and why. Tap any leg to move it to your slip. Seven days for £1.

The research

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The research desk on this game:

“Spurs' attack is threadbare and Villa travel well; this reads more draw than banker.”

The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. The reason, the team news and every market's grade sit inside.

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, the team news by name, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. Seven days for £1 opens the whole card, on this game and every other.

The model v the market

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The model's number beside every price in this table: the win markets, the double chances, the goals and both to score. Seven days for £1.

Every priced market

21 markets
Under 13 corners 1xBet 1.18
Tottenham over 3.5 corners Betano 1.18
Aston Villa over 2.5 corners Betano 1.18
Aston Villa under 6.5 corners Betano 1.19
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.22
Over 0.5 second half goals Betano 1.25
Tottenham under 2.5 goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Over 2.5 cards Betano 1.22
Under 6.5 cards Betano 1.22
Tottenham or Draw (double chance) 1xBet 1.31
Over 1.5 goals Betano 1.27
Tottenham or Aston Villa (double chance) 1xBet 1.32
Under 12.5 corners 1xBet 1.28
Tottenham under 7.5 corners 1xBet 1.28
Over 0.5 first half goals Pinnacle 1.37
Tottenham over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.31
Under 3.5 goals Betano 1.42
Aston Villa over 0.5 goals Pinnacle 1.39
Aston Villa under 1.5 goals Marathon Bet 1.44
Under 1.5 first half goals Betano 1.55
Under 9.5 shots on target Betano 1.47

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in FBB Pro.

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