Key Stats
🚨
Kairat Almaty have failed to score in 50% of matches
01The read
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty: Match Preview & Prediction
Kairat Almaty have drawn a blank in 50% of their games this season. Anderlecht's defence will fancy that.
Anderlecht have won five of their last six; Kairat Almaty have won three of their last six. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Europa League tie.
O. Jukkola has been Kairat Almaty's main threat, with 0 goals and 0 assists in 6 appearances, averaging 0.33 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickAnderlecht to win at @1.44. Model probability 58% vs implied 69%. The market is 11pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
O
O. Jukkola
Kairat Almaty · Midfielder
6 apps this season
0.3 shots on target a game
Key facts
🧤
Defensive Wall
Anderlecht keep clean sheets in 50% of games. One of the tightest defences around
😶
Goal Shy
Kairat Almaty fail to score in 50% of their games. They go missing in front of goal far too often
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 55% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Anderlecht average 1.0 goals per game and Kairat Almaty manage 1.0. Combined that's just 2.0. Even so, we make it 55% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 46%.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
If you like Anderlecht but want a bit of cover, the Home/Draw double chance at @1.12 , which pays out if Anderlecht win or draw, covers 82% of the outcomes. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (7%) and 3-1 (3%).
First Half Result
-
Anderlecht HT
1.95
-
Draw HT
2.38
-
Kairat Almaty HT
5.80
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Anderlecht Win |
@1.44
|
58.0% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.90
|
23.5% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Kairat Almaty Win |
@5.50
|
18.4% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.83
|
46.2% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.85
|
53.8% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.70
|
55.1% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.10
|
44.9% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.22
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.75
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.44
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty Team Stats
Anderlecht
Played
2
Record
1W-0D-1L
Goals F/A
2/3
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
Overall Form
WLWWWW
Home Record
1W-0D-0L
Kairat Almaty
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
7.1%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.1%
3-2
1.6%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 10 priced markets
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
85%
@1.24
Betano
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
84%
@1.22
Betano
-
Over 1.5 goals
83%
@1.26
Betano
-
Kairat Almaty under 1.5 goals
83%
@1.28
Bet365
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
77%
@1.33
Bet365
-
Over 2 goals
75%
@1.41
Pinnacle
-
Anderlecht under 2.5 goals
74%
@1.41
Marathon Bet
-
Kairat Almaty under 1 goals
71%
@1.40
Marathon Bet
-
Anderlecht to win
69%
@1.60
Betano
-
Under 1.5 first half goals
68%
@1.57
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →