Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah Prediction

Friday 9 October 2026, 19:00 Saudi Pro League

Build this bet

1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Al-Nassr 63% Draw 20% Al Diriyah 18%

The read

The desk

Al-Nassr are short at home against Al Diriyah, a promoted side making their first top-flight appearance under Bruno Lage. The bet worth a look is the goals line, because the home defence has Martinez and Coman doubtful, while the 1.44 match-winner is too thin to rely on alone.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.40Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.40

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Al-Nassr

Inigo Martinez: muscle injury, not yet back to full group training · Kingsley Coman: hamstring tear, in rehab, partial training · Joao Felix: fitness unconfirmed, reports conflict on suspension versus recovery

Al Diriyah

No absences found.

Checked Tue 6 Oct, 00:25.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Al Diriyah to win 5.00

The trap: a promoted debutant away at the reigning champions. Diriyah's only case is W W W in their last three away games, but the home side is the stronger side on the evidence, and the reported Martinez and Coman doubts do not make an away win likely. Diriyah are coached by Bruno Lage, appointed for their debut season, with no named absences found for them.

The research desk on this game:

“Al-Nassr should win at home, with Martinez and Coman doubtful, so the goals line is the real read.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Al-Nassr win 1.36 74%
Draw 5.00 20%
Al Diriyah win 7.00 14%
Al-Nassr or draw 1.12 89%
Al Diriyah or draw 3.00 33%
Either side to win, no draw 1.17 85%
Over 2.5 goals 1.40 71%
Both teams to score 1.62 62%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

22 markets
Al-Nassr under 8.5 corners 1xBet 1.18
Under 2.5 first half goals William Hill 1.20
Under 12 corners 1xBet 1.20
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.27
Under 12.5 shots on target Betano 1.21
Al-Nassr under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Under 31.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.22
Al-Nassr over 4.5 corners 1xBet 1.23
Al Diriyah over 2 corners 1xBet 1.24
Over 7.5 shots on target Betano 1.26
Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Over 23.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.27
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Al Diriyah under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Over 1 first half goals BetVictor 1.39
Al Diriyah under 4.5 corners 1xBet 1.30
Al-Nassr to win William Hill 1.36
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.36
Under 5.5 cards Betano 1.33
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Under 4 goals Pinnacle 1.47
Al Diriyah over 0.5 goals BetVictor 1.47

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Under 2.5 goals 2.73 to 3.05 drifting, longer
Away win 5.00 to 5.50 drifting, longer
Draw 4.40 to 4.80 drifting, longer
Over 2.5 goals 1.50 to 1.40 shortening
Home win 1.44 to 1.36 shortening
Home or draw 1.14 to 1.12 shortening
No draw 1.17 to 1.15 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

Always free
Al-Nassr DWLWWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 13 scored, 7 conceded.

Sat 12 Sep at al khaleej 1-1 Drew
Wed 9 Sep v Abha 2-1 Won
Sat 5 Sep at al ittihad 1-2 Lost
Fri 28 Aug v Al Taawoun 2-1 Won
Tue 25 Aug at al ettifaq 3-2 Won
Fri 21 Aug at al riyadh 4-0 Won
Al Diriyah DWLWDW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 7 scored, 4 conceded.

Sun 13 Sep v Abha 0-0 Drew
Wed 9 Sep at al fateh 2-1 Won
Thu 3 Sep v Al Qadsiah 0-2 Lost
Sat 29 Aug at al ettifaq 3-0 Won
Wed 26 Aug v Al Kholood 1-1 Drew
Fri 21 Aug at al hazem 1-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Al-Nassr v Al Diriyah: the numbers

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Al-NassrAl Diriyah 2.29Scored a game1.00 1.00Conceded a game0.71 29%Clean sheets43% 0%Failed to score43% 71%Both teams scored29%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah: FAQs

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Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.40. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah kick off?

Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 UK time (Saudi Pro League).

What are the best odds for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

The best prices across the books we track: Al-Nassr 1.36, the draw 5.00, Al Diriyah 7.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Al-Nassr: Inigo Martinez: muscle injury, not yet back to full group training, Kingsley Coman: hamstring tear, in rehab, partial training, Joao Felix: fitness unconfirmed, reports conflict on suspension versus recovery. Al Diriyah: no absences found.

What form are Al-Nassr and Al Diriyah in?

Al-Nassr have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (D W L W W W, newest first), scoring 13 and conceding 7. Al Diriyah have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 (D W L W D W, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 4.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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