Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
W
Winsley Boteli Mokango
1+ Shots on Target
72% (model)
Winsley Boteli Mokango averages 1.40 SoT/match (5 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
I
I. Chouaref
1+ Shots on Target
51% (model)
I. Chouaref averages 0.80 SoT/match (5 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
O
O. Wijndal
1+ Shots on Target
48% (model)
O. Wijndal averages 0.60 SoT/match (5 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
W
Winsley Boteli Mokango
2+ Shots on Target
36% (model)
Winsley Boteli Mokango averages 1.40 SoT/match (5 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Y
Y. Regeer
1+ Shots on Target
36% (model)
Y. Regeer averages 0.40 SoT/match (5 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Ajax vs FC Sion: Match Preview & Prediction
Ajax 62%, the draw 21%, FC Sion 17%. That's the shape of this one.
Ajax are unbeaten in their last five; FC Sion have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this Europa Conference League tie.
J. Mokio has been Ajax's spearhead, with 0 goals and 1 assists in 5 appearances, averaging 0.20 shots on target per game. Winsley Boteli Mokango has been FC Sion's main threat, with 4 goals and 1 assists in 5 appearances, averaging 1.40 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickAjax to win at @1.36. Model probability 62% vs implied 74%. The market is 12pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
J
J. Mokio
Ajax · Midfielder
0 goals · 1 assist in 5 apps
0.2 shots on target a game
W
Winsley Boteli Mokango
FC Sion · Midfielder
4 goals · 1 assist in 5 apps
1.4 shots on target a game
Key facts
🧤
Defensive Wall
Ajax keep clean sheets in 50% of games. One of the tightest defences around
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 83% of FC Sion's matches this season
▸ Form & goals
Goals look likely here. Ajax average 1.5 per game (1.5 at home) and FC Sion chip in with 3.0 (3.0 away). Defensively, Ajax concede 0.9 at home and FC Sion leak 1.7 on the road. We make it 70% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 55%.
▸ Team news & context
Ajax do it the hard way: only 1.5 a game up top, but a mean 0.9 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. FC Sion have goals in them (3.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.7 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Ajax HT
1.73
-
Draw HT
2.80
-
FC Sion HT
6.00
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Ajax vs FC Sion Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Ajax Win |
@1.36
|
61.7% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.80
|
20.9% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
FC Sion Win |
@6.50
|
17.4% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.57
|
54.6% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.30
|
45.4% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.44
|
70.2% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@3.05
|
29.8% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.14
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@7.00
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.10
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.86
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Ajax vs FC Sion Head to Head
Limited recent meetings (1), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
1 Home Wins
0 Draws
0 Away Wins
2026-08-20
Ajax 4-2 FC Sion
Full Ajax vs FC Sion head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
3-0
2.0%
4-1
1.5%
4-2
1.5%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
85%
@1.25
Betano
-
Over 6.5 corners
85%
@1.18
Superbet
-
Ajax over 3.5 corners
83%
@1.21
Superbet
-
Ajax under 3.5 goals
82%
@1.30
Unibet
-
Under 12.5 corners
82%
@1.23
Unibet
-
FC Sion under 5.5 corners
81%
@1.23
Superbet
-
Ajax over 1.5 goals
79%
@1.37
Betano
-
FC Sion under 1.5 goals
79%
@1.33
10Bet
-
Under 4.5 goals
78%
@1.33
Unibet
-
Ajax under 7.5 corners
78%
@1.46
Unibet
-
FC Sion under 4.5 corners
78%
@1.46
Superbet
-
Ajax to win
77%
@1.42
10Bet
Build a slip from these markets →