FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 17:45 Europa Conference League1235 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
FC Midtjylland 28%
Draw 25%
Ajax 47%
The read
The deskAjax arrive with four straight wins and a clean h2h sweep of this fixture; Midtjylland arrive 25th in their table and missing their captain and a first-choice centre-back. The home draw-chance insurance looks overpriced for what it's selling. This points toward an away performance, not a home certainty.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeFC MidtjyllandMartin Erlic: long-term injury · Mads Bech Sorensen: knee injury, captain · Mikel Gogorza: long-term injury, out since July · Elias Olafsson: kidney injury, had surgery · Magnus Jensen: long-term injury · Junior Brumado: long-term injury
AjaxDaley Blind: back issue, out since August · Simon Adingra: injury, yet to feature this season
Checked Mon 2 Nov, 02:13.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProThe trap for anyone backing home security: Ajax have won 4 straight, are 4 wins in 5 away, and swept both previous meetings with this opponent. Midtjylland sit 25th in their table and are missing their captain and a first-choice centre-back. Form and h2h both run against the draw-chance insurance this price is selling.
“Ajax's four-game run and a clean h2h sweep make Midtjylland's bottom-table home draw hope look thin.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland win | 2.75 | 36% | |
| Draw | 3.70 | 27% | |
| Ajax win | 2.30 | 43% | |
| FC Midtjylland or draw | 1.57 | 64% | |
| Ajax or draw | 1.40 | 71% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.29 | 78% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 68% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 | 69% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
20 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeFC Midtjylland
WWLWDW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 11 scored, 8 conceded.
at FC Nordsjaelland
3-2
Won
v Lyngby
3-2
Won
v St Truiden
0-1
Lost
at Viborg
2-1
Won
at Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1-1
Drew
v FC Copenhagen
2-1
Won
Ajax
WWWWLD
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 12 scored, 6 conceded.
v AZ Alkmaar
1-0
Won
at Sparta Rotterdam
2-1
Won
v Atalanta
2-0
Won
at FC Groningen
5-2
Won
at HNK Hajduk Split
1-2
Lost
v NEC Nijmegen
1-1
Drew
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
FC Midtjylland v Ajax: the numbers
Always freeFC MidtjyllandAjax
25League position13
4-1-1League record, won-drawn-lost6-1-1
12-5Goals for and against25-12
1Points3
2-0-1Home record v away record2-1-1
2.00Scored a game3.10
0.80Conceded a game1.50
33%Clean sheets12%
17%Failed to score8%
67%Both teams scored68%
33%Over 2.5 goals62%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
FC Midtjylland v Ajax: head to head
Always freeOnly 2 meetings on our record, too few to read a pattern from.
Ajax v FC Midtjylland
3-1
FC Midtjylland v Ajax
1-2
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: FAQs
Always freeFC Midtjylland vs Ajax prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is BTTS: Yes at 1.44. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does FC Midtjylland vs Ajax kick off?
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 17:45 UK time (Europa Conference League).
What are the best odds for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
The best prices across the books we track: FC Midtjylland 2.75, the draw 3.70, Ajax 2.30. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
FC Midtjylland: Martin Erlic: long-term injury, Mads Bech Sorensen: knee injury, captain, Mikel Gogorza: long-term injury, out since July, Elias Olafsson: kidney injury, had surgery, Magnus Jensen: long-term injury, Junior Brumado: long-term injury. Ajax: Daley Blind: back issue, out since August, Simon Adingra: injury, yet to feature this season.
What form are FC Midtjylland and Ajax in?
FC Midtjylland have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W L W D W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 8. Ajax have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W W W L D, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 6.
What is the head to head between FC Midtjylland and Ajax?
In their last 2 meetings on our record, FC Midtjylland won 0, Ajax won 2 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 25 Nov 2020, finished Ajax 3-1 FC Midtjylland.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Mon 2 Nov
Pro single
Sonderjyske v FC Copenhagen
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 1 Nov
Pro single
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
1.36
Over 1.5 goals (2-0) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Peterborough v Luton
1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.