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Forest Green have drawn a blank in 40% of their games this season. AFC Fylde's defence will fancy that.
AFC Fylde have taken five points from their last five; Forest Green have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this National League tie.
Our PickBoth teams to score at @1.40. Model probability 68% vs implied 71%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. AFC Fylde average 2.0 per game and Forest Green chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
Goals look likely here. AFC Fylde average 2.0 per game (2.0 at home) and Forest Green chip in with 2.0 (2.0 away). Defensively, AFC Fylde concede 2.0 at home and Forest Green leak 1.4 on the road. We make it 66% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. There's a good chance both teams find the net, and we make it 68%. AFC Fylde score in 100% of their games and Forest Green in 60%, and neither back line is tight enough to bank on a clean sheet. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.0 goals when they meet, with 2 of the last 2 producing three or more.
AFC Fylde are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Forest Green, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Forest Green have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.4 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 2 meetings: AFC Fylde have won 1, Forest Green 1, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 2 of the last 2 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: AFC Fylde 3-0 Forest Green, Forest Green 3-0 AFC Fylde.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | AFC Fylde Win | @2.75 | 29.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.60 | 27.1% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Forest Green Win | @2.25 | 43.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.40 | 68.2% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.70 | 31.8% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.50 | 65.9% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.64 | 34.1% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.14 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @5.61 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.20 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.65 | - | Bet365 |
Limited recent meetings (2), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Forest Green the favourite with a 43.6% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: AFC Fylde @ 2.75, Draw @ 3.60, Forest Green @ 2.25. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
AFC Fylde vs Forest Green kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 in the National League.