AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 17:45 Europa League1235 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
AC Milan 64%
Draw 18%
Ferencvarosi TC 17%
The read
The deskMilan are heavy favorites at San Siro, but Ferencvaros arrive on a five-match winning run, sit far higher in the league phase table, and face a Milan side missing its first-choice keeper and striker. That mix makes the short price on Milan look thinner than it reads, and the goals side of this game looks more controlled than explosive.
The model says
Always freeThe desk marks this call down. Its reason is in the research below.
Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeAC MilanMike Maignan: out (calf) · Santiago Gimenez: out (ankle, post-surgery)
Ferencvarosi TCBence Otvos: out (knee, long-term)
Checked Mon 2 Nov, 01:34.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProPriced at 96% implied, close to a lock, but the evidence says otherwise: Ferencvaros have won 5 straight including 4 of 5 away and sit 4th in the league phase table, while Milan are 24th, have lost 2 of their last 5 at home, and go in without Maignan and Gimenez. Our own read puts this closer to 70, well short of the certainty the price is selling.
“Milan are short favorites at home, but a red-hot, higher-placed Ferencvaros make this no formality”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan win | 1.33 | 75% | |
| Draw | 5.50 | 18% | |
| Ferencvarosi TC win | 8.50 | 12% | |
| AC Milan or draw | 1.08 | 93% | |
| Ferencvarosi TC or draw | 3.40 | 29% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.17 | 85% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 65% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.91 | 52% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
17 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeAC Milan
WLWLWW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 14 scored, 10 conceded.
v Internazionale
3-1
Won
v Bologna
2-4
Lost
at Udinese
2-0
Won
at AFC Bournemouth
0-3
Lost
v Atalanta
3-2
Won
Ferencvarosi TC
WWWWWD
Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost. 15 scored, 4 conceded.
v Torreense
4-1
Won
v Plzen
2-1
Won
at Celtic
3-1
Won
v Trabzonspor
4-0
Won
at Trabzonspor
1-0
Won
at Gornik Zabrze
1-1
Drew
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
AC Milan v Ferencvarosi TC: the numbers
Always freeAC MilanFerencvarosi TC
24League position4
1-0-2League record, won-drawn-lost9-2-0
4-5Goals for and against25-8
3Points9
0-0-1Home record v away record4-1-0
1.30Scored a game2.30
1.70Conceded a game0.70
33%Clean sheets36%
67%Failed to score0%
53%Both teams scored64%
33%Over 2.5 goals36%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
AC Milan v Ferencvarosi TC: head to head
Always freeA first meeting: AC Milan and Ferencvarosi TC have not played each other in the record we hold.
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC: FAQs
Always freeAC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is AC Milan to win at 1.33. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC kick off?
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 17:45 UK time (Europa League).
What are the best odds for AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC?
The best prices across the books we track: AC Milan 1.33, the draw 5.50, Ferencvarosi TC 8.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC?
AC Milan: Mike Maignan: out (calf), Santiago Gimenez: out (ankle, post-surgery). Ferencvarosi TC: Bence Otvos: out (knee, long-term).
What form are AC Milan and Ferencvarosi TC in?
AC Milan have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W L W L W W, newest first), scoring 14 and conceding 10. Ferencvarosi TC have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W W W W W D, newest first), scoring 15 and conceding 4.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Mon 2 Nov
Pro single
Sonderjyske v FC Copenhagen
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 1 Nov
Pro single
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
1.36
Over 1.5 goals (2-0) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Peterborough v Luton
1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.