01The read
Aberdeen Rolling, Rangers Reeling. Can Form Hold?
The model makes Rangers 56% favourites here. Aberdeen carry the 19% upset.
A Scottish Premiership meeting between Aberdeen (8th, 33 pts) and Rangers (2nd, 69 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickRangers to win at @1.85. Model probability 56% vs implied 54%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
✈
Strong Travellers
Rangers win 47% of their away games (W9 from 19). Dangerous visitors
😶
Blunt Attack
Aberdeen fail to score in 42% of their games. Creating chances has been a real problem
📊
H2H Favours Away
Rangers have won 7 of the last 10 encounters. They have a psychological edge
⚖
Quality Gap
Rangers's GD of +33 dwarfs Aberdeen's -15. The visitors are a level above
▸ Form & goals
Aberdeen supporters have every reason to fancy this one. Their side is flying. recent form reads L-W-L-L-W. That L-W-L-L-W run is the kind of form you dream about heading into a game like this. It's been tougher going for Rangers lately (D-L-D-W-L), recent form reads D-L-D-W-L. but their fans know football rarely reads the script. One good start, one moment of quality, and Rangers are right back in it. On paper it's Aberdeen's to lose, and that pressure cuts both ways. Crucially, Aberdeen are in strong home form while Rangers are struggling away from home. the venue factor amplifies the form gap.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Aberdeen are scoring 1.1 a game (1.5 of those at home) and Rangers manage 2.0 (1.9 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 56%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
▸ Team news & context
Rangers have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.1 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Aberdeen have won 1, Rangers 7, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Rangers 4-1 Aberdeen, Aberdeen 0-2 Rangers, Rangers 2-0 Aberdeen.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Aberdeen HT
4.00
-
Draw HT
2.38
-
Rangers HT
2.30
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Aberdeen vs Rangers Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Aberdeen Win |
@4.00
|
19.1% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.50
|
23.7% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Rangers Win |
@1.85
|
55.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.65
|
50.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.15
|
49.5% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.73
|
55.7% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.15
|
44.3% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.22
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.33
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.75
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.47
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Aberdeen vs Rangers Team Stats
Aberdeen
Position
8
Played
38
Record
11W-7D-20L
Goals F/A
40/55
Avg Goals Scored
1.10
Points
33
Overall Form
LWLLW
Home Form
WLWW
Home Record
7W-5D-7L
Rangers
Position
2
Played
38
Record
20W-12D-6L
Goals F/A
76/43
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
Points
69
Overall Form
DLDWL
Away Form
DWLL
Away Record
9W-7D-3L
Aberdeen vs Rangers Head to Head
1 Home Wins
2 Draws
7 Away Wins
2.9
Avg Goals
5/10
BTTS
6/10
Over 2.5
2026-03-21
Aberdeen 1-4 Rangers
2026-01-11
Aberdeen 0-2 Rangers
2026-01-06
Aberdeen 0-2 Rangers
2025-05-11
Aberdeen 0-4 Rangers
2025-04-13
Aberdeen 2-2 Rangers
2025-01-15
Aberdeen 0-3 Rangers
2024-10-30
Aberdeen 2-1 Rangers
2024-02-06
Aberdeen 1-2 Rangers
2023-12-17
Aberdeen 0-1 Rangers
2023-11-26
Aberdeen 1-1 Rangers
Full Aberdeen vs Rangers head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.0%
2-3
3.0%
1-4
2.3%
0-4
2.1%
2-4
1.3%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices
-
Over 1.5 goals
Smart
83%
@1.25
Betano
-
Bojan Miovski 1+ shots on target
80%
@1.25
Bet365
-
Ryan Naderi 1+ shots on target
77%
@1.30
Bet365
-
Djeidi Gassama 1+ shots on target
77%
@1.30
Bet365
-
Thelonious Aasgaard 1+ shots on target
74%
@1.36
Bet365
Combined 3.59
· £5 returns
£17.96
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
85%
@1.20
William Hill
-
Dylan Lobban 1+ shots
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Emmanuel Fernandez 1+ shots
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Over 1.5 goals
83%
@1.25
Betano
-
Aberdeen or Rangers (double chance)
83%
@1.29
William Hill
-
Rangers or Draw (double chance)
83%
@1.25
Betano
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
82%
@1.27
Betano
-
Bojan Miovski 1+ shots on target
80%
@1.25
Bet365
-
Rangers under 2.5 goals
78%
@1.31
Betano
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
78%
@1.38
Betano
-
Ryan Naderi 1+ shots on target
77%
@1.30
Bet365
-
Aberdeen under 1.5 goals
74%
@1.38
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →