York crestAccrington ST crest

York v Accrington Stanley bet builder

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:45 · League Two

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Accrington Stanley or draw

    51% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 51%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.98 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 44% chance all land
2.26

The model puts this 2-leg build at 44% combined for York v Accrington Stanley. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • York or Draw Double Chance 80%+ 1.18 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 79% 1.19 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 64% 1.43 +
  • York Home Win 50% 1.69 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • A. Newby York
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Newby: 1.30 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Caton Accrington Stanley
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Caton: 1.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Woods Accrington Stanley
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Woods: 1.00 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • O. Pearce York
    Shots on target 1+

    O. Pearce: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Newby York
    Anytime scorer

    A. Newby: 0.60 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 1.40 a game

  • H. Boyes York
    Anytime assist

    H. Boyes on 0.60 assists/match (10 apps, 30 key passes), match xG 2.58

  • O. Pearce York
    Anytime scorer

    O. Pearce: 0.50 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 1.40 a game

  • J. Grey York
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Grey: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Newby York
    Shots on target 2+

    A. Newby: 1.30 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Caton Accrington Stanley
    Shots on target 2+

    C. Caton: 1.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Woods Accrington Stanley
    Anytime scorer

    J. Woods: 0.50 goals a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 1.40 a game

  • J. Woods Accrington Stanley
    To be carded

    J. Woods (Attacker) on 0.50 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 0.90

  • Stefan Mols Accrington Stanley
    Shots on target 1+

    Stefan Mols: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Matthews Accrington Stanley
    To be carded

    D. Matthews (Defender) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • York over 1 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • York under 8.5 corners 85% market 1xBet
    1.18 +
  • York over 4.5 corners 85% market 1xBet
    1.18 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 84% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 8 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.20 +
  • Under 12.5 corners 83% market Betano
    1.23 +
  • Over 2 goals 79% market BetVictor
    1.30 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 79% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • York under 2.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.30 +
  • Accrington Stanley under 1.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Accrington Stanley under 4.5 corners 75% market 1xBet
    1.33 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.