Wrexham v Middlesbrough bet builder

Wednesday 4 November 2026, 19:45 · Championship

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

Middlesbrough or draw

77% the model

Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

Our board prices this at 77%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.30 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.07 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 72% chance all land

1.38

The model puts this 2-leg build at 72% combined for Wrexham v Middlesbrough. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.22 +
Under 3.5 Goals 64% 1.46 +
Middlesbrough Away Win 57% 1.82 +
Wrexham or Draw Double Chance 53% 1.91 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

W. Lankshear Middlesbrough

Shots on target 1+

W. Lankshear: 1.83 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
A. Cozier-Duberry Middlesbrough

Shots on target 1+

A. Cozier-Duberry: 1.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
K. Moore Wrexham

Shots on target 1+

K. Moore: 1.00 shots on target a game over 13 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
W. Lankshear Middlesbrough

Anytime scorer

W. Lankshear: 0.92 goals a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 1.31 a game
W. Lankshear Middlesbrough

Shots on target 2+

W. Lankshear: 1.83 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
A. Cozier-Duberry Middlesbrough

Shots on target 2+

A. Cozier-Duberry: 1.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
A. Morris Middlesbrough

Shots on target 1+

A. Morris: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
C. Doyle Wrexham

Shots on target 1+

C. Doyle: 0.42 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 9.5 Match Corners 43%
Corners: Wrexham avg 3.2 for/4.5 against, Middlesbrough avg 7.3 for/3.3 against so expected 9.1 match corners
Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
Corners: Wrexham avg 3.2 for/4.5 against, Middlesbrough avg 7.3 for/3.3 against so expected 9.1 match corners; the safer line
Over 2.5 Match Cards 43%
Cards: Wrexham avg 1.5/game, Middlesbrough avg 0.9/game so expected 2.4 match cards
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 45%
Fouls: Wrexham avg 11.3/game, Middlesbrough avg 8.9/game so expected 20.1 match fouls
Over 16.5 Match Fouls 79%
Fouls: Wrexham avg 11.3/game, Middlesbrough avg 8.9/game so expected 20.1 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 68%
Shots: Wrexham avg 9.7/game, Middlesbrough avg 19.4/game so expected 29.1 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Wrexham avg 9.7/game, Middlesbrough avg 19.4/game so expected 29.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Under 4 goals 84% market BetVictor
1.22 +
Middlesbrough over 1 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
1.20 +
Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
1.28 +
Wrexham or Middlesbrough (double chance) 82% market William Hill
1.25 +
Middlesbrough or Draw (double chance) 82% market Bet365
1.28 +
Over 2 goals 79% market BetVictor
1.31 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 78% market William Hill
1.30 +
Middlesbrough under 2.5 goals 78% market Bet365
1.33 +
Wrexham over 0.5 goals 77% market BetVictor
1.36 +
Over 1 second half goals 77% market Marathon Bet
1.30 +
Wrexham under 1.5 goals 74% market Bet365
1.50 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.