AFC Wimbledon crestBlackpool crest

AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool bet builder

Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 · League One

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • AFC Wimbledon or draw

    65% the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 322 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 65%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 70%.)

    1.55 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    58% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 58%.

    1.73 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 37% chance all land
2.69

The model puts this 2-leg build at 37% combined for AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.21 +
  • Blackpool or Draw Double Chance 68% 1.44 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.36 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • J. Stockley AFC Wimbledon
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Stockley: 0.92 shots on target a game over 13 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Bowler Blackpool
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Bowler: 0.91 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. Bloxham Blackpool
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Bloxham: 0.73 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Stockley AFC Wimbledon
    Anytime scorer

    J. Stockley: 0.46 goals a game over 13 games, home against a side conceding 1.80 a game

  • A. Yiadom AFC Wimbledon
    To be carded

    A. Yiadom (Defender) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 52%
    Corners: AFC Wimbledon avg 5.0 for/5.7 against, Blackpool avg 5.4 for/7.6 against so expected 11.8 match corners
  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: AFC Wimbledon avg 5.0 for/5.7 against, Blackpool avg 5.4 for/7.6 against so expected 11.8 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 49%
    Cards: AFC Wimbledon avg 1.2/game, Blackpool avg 2.4/game so expected 3.6 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: AFC Wimbledon avg 1.2/game, Blackpool avg 2.4/game so expected 3.6 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 54%
    Fouls: AFC Wimbledon avg 10.5/game, Blackpool avg 10.6/game so expected 21.2 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: AFC Wimbledon avg 10.5/game, Blackpool avg 10.6/game so expected 21.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 51%
    Shots: AFC Wimbledon avg 10.0/game, Blackpool avg 12.8/game so expected 22.8 match shots
  • Over 18.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: AFC Wimbledon avg 10.0/game, Blackpool avg 12.8/game so expected 22.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Blackpool over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • AFC Wimbledon under 2 goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • AFC Wimbledon over 0.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Blackpool under 2 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • AFC Wimbledon or Blackpool (double chance) 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 76% market William Hill
    1.33 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Blackpool or Draw (double chance) 71% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market William Hill
    1.44 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.