Willem II crestPEC Zwolle crest

Willem II v PEC Zwolle bet builder

Friday 6 November 2026, 19:00 · Eredivisie

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • PEC Zwolle or draw

    71% the model

    Our board prices this at 71%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.40 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 54% chance all land
1.84

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Willem II v PEC Zwolle, 54% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 73% 1.30 +
  • Willem II or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.69 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.69 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • K. Kostons PEC Zwolle
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Kostons: 1.00 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Slory Willem II
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Slory: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Haen Willem II
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Haen: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. Oosting PEC Zwolle
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Oosting: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Kostons PEC Zwolle
    Anytime scorer

    K. Kostons: 0.40 goals a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 2.30 a game

  • D. Haen Willem II
    Anytime scorer

    D. Haen: 0.30 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 2.30 a game

  • T. Sommer PEC Zwolle
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Sommer: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Mbayo PEC Zwolle
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Mbayo: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Uriel van Aalst Willem II
    Shots on target 1+

    Uriel van Aalst: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 53%
    Corners: Willem II avg 4.0 for/6.5 against, PEC Zwolle avg 4.3 for/7.0 against so expected 10.9 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 76%
    Corners: Willem II avg 4.0 for/6.5 against, PEC Zwolle avg 4.3 for/7.0 against so expected 10.9 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 56%
    Cards: Willem II avg 1.7/game, PEC Zwolle avg 1.2/game so expected 2.9 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 79%
    Cards: Willem II avg 1.7/game, PEC Zwolle avg 1.2/game so expected 2.9 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 50%
    Fouls: Willem II avg 9.4/game, PEC Zwolle avg 11.3/game so expected 20.7 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Willem II avg 9.4/game, PEC Zwolle avg 11.3/game so expected 20.7 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots 49%
    Shots: Willem II avg 12.0/game, PEC Zwolle avg 12.5/game so expected 24.5 match shots
  • Over 20.5 Match Shots 79%
    Shots: Willem II avg 12.0/game, PEC Zwolle avg 12.5/game so expected 24.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.18 +
  • Willem II over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • PEC Zwolle over 1 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.20 +
  • Willem II or PEC Zwolle (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • PEC Zwolle under 2.5 goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Willem II under 2 goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.30 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 76% market William Hill
    1.33 +
  • PEC Zwolle or Draw (double chance) 75% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Under 4 goals 75% market Betano
    1.42 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.