Wellington Phoenix crestMacarthur crest

Wellington Phoenix v Macarthur bet builder

Sunday 22 November 2026, 02:00 · A-League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Wellington Phoenix or Draw

    76% the model

    Win if home team wins or draws. Home team favoured. Home avoid defeat 100% of games.

    1.32 +

  • Under 3.5 Goals

    63% the model

    Avg 2.2 goals/game expected. Unlikely to be a goalfest.

    1.59 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 48% chance all land
2.10

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Wellington Phoenix v Macarthur, 48% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.22 +
  • Macarthur or Draw Double Chance 57% 1.77 +

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2 first half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Under 4 goals 84% market 1xBet
    1.24 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Wellington Phoenix or Macarthur (double chance) 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Wellington Phoenix over 1 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Wellington Phoenix under 2.5 goals 79% market Betano
    1.30 +
  • Macarthur over 0.5 goals 79% market Betano
    1.31 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Wellington Phoenix or Draw (double chance) 76% market William Hill
    1.33 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.