Watford v Burnley bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.45 +
Burnley or draw
Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
- The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
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Over 2.5 Goals
Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Iker Bravo WatfordShots on target 1+
Iker Bravo: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Amin Nabizada WatfordShots on target 1+
Amin Nabizada: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 53%Corners: Watford avg 5.7 for/5.3 against, Burnley avg 4.4 for/4.4 against so expected 9.9 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 77%Corners: Watford avg 5.7 for/5.3 against, Burnley avg 4.4 for/4.4 against so expected 9.9 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 42%Cards: Watford avg 2.1/game, Burnley avg 2.1/game so expected 4.2 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 79%Cards: Watford avg 2.1/game, Burnley avg 2.1/game so expected 4.2 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 54%Fouls: Watford avg 11.0/game, Burnley avg 12.1/game so expected 23.1 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Watford avg 11.0/game, Burnley avg 12.1/game so expected 23.1 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 50%Shots: Watford avg 15.5/game, Burnley avg 11.1/game so expected 26.6 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 79%Shots: Watford avg 15.5/game, Burnley avg 11.1/game so expected 26.6 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.28 +
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Burnley over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.25 +
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Burnley under 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.23 +
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Watford or Burnley (double chance) 78% market William Hill1.33 +
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Watford over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.30 +
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Under 2 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet1.28 +
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Under 3.5 goals 76% market Pinnacle1.39 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market Bet3651.36 +
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Over 1 second half goals 74% market Marathon Bet1.36 +
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Burnley or Draw (double chance) 72% market Bet3651.44 +
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Under 1.5 first half goals 71% market Pinnacle1.45 +
More fixtures
All previews ›The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing
Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.