Vitoria crestFluminense crest

Vitoria v Fluminense bet builder

Friday 6 November 2026, 23:00 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Vitoria or draw

    67% the model

    Our board prices this at 67%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.50 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 58% chance all land
1.72

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Vitoria v Fluminense, 58% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.32 +
  • Fluminense or Draw Double Chance 68% 1.42 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Rene Vitoria
    Shots on target 1+

    Rene: 1.17 shots on target a game over 24 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Savarino Fluminense
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Savarino: 0.83 shots on target a game over 24 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Matheuzinho Vitoria
    Shots on target 1+

    Matheuzinho: 0.62 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Canobbio Fluminense
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Canobbio: 0.75 shots on target a game over 24 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (139 min), 25% weight

  • K. Serna Fluminense
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Serna: 0.53 shots on target a game over 32 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Erick Vitoria
    Shots on target 1+

    Erick: 0.43 shots on target a game over 30 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Rene Vitoria
    Shots on target 2+

    Rene: 1.17 shots on target a game over 24 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Acosta Fluminense
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Acosta: 0.50 shots on target a game over 28 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 43%
    Corners: Vitoria avg 4.9 for/6.2 against, Fluminense avg 5.3 for/3.8 against so expected 10.1 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 79%
    Corners: Vitoria avg 4.9 for/6.2 against, Fluminense avg 5.3 for/3.8 against so expected 10.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 43%
    Cards: Vitoria avg 2.2/game, Fluminense avg 2.1/game so expected 4.3 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Vitoria avg 2.2/game, Fluminense avg 2.1/game so expected 4.3 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 61%
    Fouls: Vitoria avg 13.7/game, Fluminense avg 12.4/game so expected 26.0 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Vitoria avg 13.7/game, Fluminense avg 12.4/game so expected 26.0 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 54%
    Shots: Vitoria avg 12.8/game, Fluminense avg 14.5/game so expected 27.3 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Vitoria avg 12.8/game, Fluminense avg 14.5/game so expected 27.3 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Vitoria over 2.5 corners 85% market Betano
    1.18 +
  • Vitoria over 3 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 81% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Fluminense under 6.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 81% market Betano
    1.27 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.32 +
  • Vitoria or Fluminense (double chance) 78% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Fluminense over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Fluminense under 6 corners 78% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.