Udinese v Fiorentina bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.81 +
Fiorentina to win
55% the modelRecord this market has landed 53% across 49 graded picks
Our board prices this at 55%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 45%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 48% combined for Udinese v Fiorentina. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.22 +
- Fiorentina or Draw Double Chance 70% 1.37 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 65% 1.43 +
- Udinese or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.73 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Franco Mastantuono FiorentinaShots on target 1+
Franco Mastantuono: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Ekkelenkamp UdineseShots on target 1+
J. Ekkelenkamp: 0.82 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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H. Kamara UdineseShots on target 1+
H. Kamara: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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K. Davis UdineseShots on target 1+
K. Davis: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Mateo Pellegrino FiorentinaShots on target 1+
Mateo Pellegrino: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Palma UdineseShots on target 1+
M. Palma: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Franco Mastantuono FiorentinaAnytime scorer
Franco Mastantuono: 0.36 goals a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 2.27 a game
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Mateo Pellegrino FiorentinaAnytime scorer
Mateo Pellegrino: 0.36 goals a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 2.27 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 43%Corners: Udinese avg 5.2 for/4.2 against, Fiorentina avg 4.4 for/4.5 against so expected 9.2 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Udinese avg 5.2 for/4.2 against, Fiorentina avg 4.4 for/4.5 against so expected 9.2 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 54%Cards: Udinese avg 1.8/game, Fiorentina avg 2.1/game so expected 3.9 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 74%Cards: Udinese avg 1.8/game, Fiorentina avg 2.1/game so expected 3.9 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 52%Fouls: Udinese avg 11.1/game, Fiorentina avg 11.8/game so expected 22.9 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Udinese avg 11.1/game, Fiorentina avg 11.8/game so expected 22.9 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Udinese avg 15.0/game, Fiorentina avg 16.8/game so expected 31.8 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Udinese avg 15.0/game, Fiorentina avg 16.8/game so expected 31.8 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 1.5 goals 84% market Bet3651.22 +
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Fiorentina over 0.5 goals 84% market Bet3651.20 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Fiorentina under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.22 +
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Udinese or Fiorentina (double chance) 78% market Bet3651.30 +
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Udinese over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.30 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market Bet3651.33 +
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Over 2 goals 76% market Betano1.37 +
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Under 2 second half goals 75% market Marathon Bet1.34 +
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Fiorentina or Draw (double chance) 74% market Bet3651.36 +
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Udinese under 1.5 goals 68% market Bet3651.50 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.