Twente crestWillem II crest

Twente v Willem II bet builder

Sunday 22 November 2026, 11:15 · Eredivisie

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Twente crestTwente

    80%+ the model

    4th vs 18th. Twente won 4 of their last 5 at home. Visitors poor away. The market prices this at 89%; the model's own number is 80%+, from its record in this market

    1.24 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    62% the model

    Avg 4.0 goals/game expected.

    1.62 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 50% chance all land
2.02

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Twente v Willem II, 50% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Twente (first half) First Half 76% 1.25 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 62% 1.46 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 55% 1.79 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • W. Weghorst Twente
    Shots on target 1+

    W. Weghorst: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Pjaca Twente
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Pjaca: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Slory Willem II
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Slory: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Rots Twente
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Rots: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Haen Willem II
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Haen: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • W. Weghorst Twente
    Shots on target 2+

    W. Weghorst: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Zerrouki Twente
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Zerrouki: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (53 min), 11% weight

  • T. van den Belt Twente
    Shots on target 1+

    T. van den Belt: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Pjaca Twente
    Shots on target 2+

    M. Pjaca: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Twente under 5.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.18 +
  • Under 3.5 second half goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Twente under 5 goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Twente leading at half time 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 5.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 1.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 73% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Over 3.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.