Twente v Ajax bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.50 +
Ajax or draw
67% the modelOur board prices this at 67%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Twente v Ajax, 62% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 68% 1.40 +
- Twente or Draw Double Chance 63% 1.56 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 54% 1.92 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 54% 1.85 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Pjaca TwenteShots on target 1+
M. Pjaca: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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W. Weghorst TwenteShots on target 1+
W. Weghorst: 1.20 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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O. Gloukh AjaxShots on target 1+
O. Gloukh: 1.22 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Klaassen AjaxShots on target 1+
D. Klaassen: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Brandt AjaxShots on target 1+
J. Brandt: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Rots TwenteShots on target 1+
D. Rots: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Pjaca TwenteShots on target 2+
M. Pjaca: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. van den Belt TwenteShots on target 1+
T. van den Belt: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Mokio AjaxShots on target 1+
J. Mokio: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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W. Weghorst TwenteShots on target 2+
W. Weghorst: 1.20 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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O. Wijndal AjaxShots on target 1+
O. Wijndal: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Ajax over 1 goals 85% market Marathon Bet1.18 +
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Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Twente or Ajax (double chance) 82% market William Hill1.25 +
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Twente over 1 goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Twente under 2.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.28 +
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Over 1 first half goals 76% market Betano1.42 +
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Over 2.5 goals 76% market Bet3651.36 +
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Under 4.5 goals 76% market Bet3651.33 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 75% market Bet3651.36 +
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Ajax under 2.5 goals 75% market Bet3651.33 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 72% market William Hill1.40 +
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Ajax or Draw (double chance) 69% market Bet3651.50 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.