Türkiye v Italy bet builder

Monday 28 September 2026, 19:45 · UEFA Nations League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Italy or Draw

    the model's number, for members
    1.43 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 1.5 Goals

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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Alternative picks

  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.29 +
  • Türkiye or Draw Double Chance 1.50 +
  • Under 2.5 Goals 1.76 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • F. Dimarco Italy
    Shots on target 1+

    F. Dimarco: 0.63 shots on target a game over 35 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • F. Dimarco Italy
    Anytime assist

    F. Dimarco on 0.46 assists/match (35 apps, 96 key passes), match xG 2.49

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Italy over 0.5 goals 80% market BetVictor
    1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 78% market BetVictor
    1.29 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 77% market BetVictor
    1.30 +
  • Türkiye or Italy (double chance) 77% market BetVictor
    1.30 +
  • Türkiye over 0.5 goals 75% market BetVictor
    1.33 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market BetVictor
    1.36 +
  • Italy or Draw (double chance) 74% market BetVictor
    1.36 +
  • Türkiye under 1.5 goals 71% market BetVictor
    1.40 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market BetVictor
    1.45 +
FBB Pro

The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing

Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.

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Cancel any time. 18+. This is analysis and opinion, not betting advice.