Torino crestLazio crest

Torino v Lazio bet builder

Saturday 28 November 2026, 17:00 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Lazio or draw

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 76%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.32 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 71% chance all land
1.41

The model puts this 2-leg build at 71% combined for Torino v Lazio. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.24 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.37 +
  • Torino or Draw Double Chance 52% 1.91 +
  • Lazio Away Win 51% 1.93 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Zaccagni Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Zaccagni: 1.20 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Adams Torino
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Adams: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.61/90 over 3 games (148 min), 26% weight

  • T. Noslin Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Noslin: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Simeone Torino
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Simeone: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Cancellieri Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Cancellieri: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Vlašić Torino
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Vlašić: 0.36 shots on target a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.90/90 over 2 games (100 min), 19% weight

  • M. Zaccagni Lazio
    Anytime assist

    M. Zaccagni on 0.50 assists/match (10 apps, 23 key passes), match xG 2.57

  • D. Frattesi Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Frattesi: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Isaksen Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Isaksen: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 51%
    Corners: Torino avg 3.7 for/4.4 against, Lazio avg 4.4 for/4.9 against so expected 8.7 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 77%
    Corners: Torino avg 3.7 for/4.4 against, Lazio avg 4.4 for/4.9 against so expected 8.7 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 53%
    Cards: Torino avg 0.9/game, Lazio avg 1.9/game so expected 2.8 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 77%
    Cards: Torino avg 0.9/game, Lazio avg 1.9/game so expected 2.8 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 56%
    Fouls: Torino avg 10.2/game, Lazio avg 11.2/game so expected 21.4 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 73%
    Fouls: Torino avg 10.2/game, Lazio avg 11.2/game so expected 21.4 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots 48%
    Shots: Torino avg 10.5/game, Lazio avg 13.8/game so expected 24.4 match shots
  • Over 20.5 Match Shots 78%
    Shots: Torino avg 10.5/game, Lazio avg 13.8/game so expected 24.4 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 84% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 84% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Lazio or Draw (double chance) 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Lazio under 2.5 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Torino or Lazio (double chance) 78% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Lazio over 1 goals 78% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.33 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Torino over 0.5 goals 74% market 1xBet
    1.41 +
  • Torino under 1.5 goals 71% market Marathon Bet
    1.41 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.